Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T02:53:54+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52f6…af63
crypto · 1583 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$467 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$467 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$12
Realized−$467
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses795 / 785
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1580 / 1583
History coverage3d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day685.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 3 History 1580 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,093
7 days−$467
14 days−$467
30 days−$467
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Up 52¢ 55¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+5%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Down 50¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Down 48¢ 50¢ $4 $4 +$0 (+3%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +82%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +110%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +80%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$4 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$4 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$4 +90%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% −$428
other 2% −$39
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $4 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 6m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 27m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $4 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $4 36m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $4 58m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 55¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $4 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 54¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $4 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-15.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1580 -7.0% -15.8% 50% 46% -15.3%
≤30d 1580 -7.0% -15.8% 50% 46% -15.3%
≤90d 1580 -7.0% -15.8% 50% 46% -15.3%
all 1580 -7.0% -15.8% 50% 46% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover685.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.8% 46% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -23.9% 45% -23.4%
15% -31.2% 44% -30.8%
20% -38.0% 44% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $12.36 · official $12.28 (match) · 3500 history records