Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T09:12:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
52 0x52f1…4cd7 crypto 1567 markets active 0h ago coverage 17d ⚠
BOTnot copyable crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Covers last 17d only
✗ bot/MM pace (111 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage
Total PnL +$191 (+3%) realized +$191 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt +2% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -21% what you keep after slip
Net edge-21%after slip
Net WR58%break-even
Win rate61%952W / 615L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$4per market
Trades / day111.2pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$38
7 days+$42
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (111 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-7.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 545 +6.0% -4.1% 66% 63% -7.8%
≤30d 1567 +2.5% -7.2% 61% 58% -9.6%
≤90d 1567 +2.5% -7.2% 61% 58% -9.6%
all 1567 +2.5% -7.2% 61% 58% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover111.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -7.2% 58% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -16.1% 55% -18.3%
15% -24.2% 45% -26.2%
20% -31.7% 30% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 1% · top 2 2% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -0% 90d near zero / fading
Fragile wins
4% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt +3% · $-wt -0% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +1% → late +4% edge persists early→late
Add-ons / DCA
1.2 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$3 · ×0.64 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.99 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

17d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized+$191
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses952 / 615
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1567 / 1567
History coverage17d ⚠
Avg bet$4
Trades / day111.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 1567 Trades
no open positions (2 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 17 $8 −$3 -38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 17 $4 +$1 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 +$3 +117%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 17 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 17 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 17 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 17 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +76%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +64%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 17 $3 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 16 $3 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 16 $4 +$1 +25%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 12m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 55¢ $3 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $3 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 32m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Down 61¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 76¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 62¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $4 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $4 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 17, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $4 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 65¢ $3 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 58¢ $3 6h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 16, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $3 6h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records