Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T16:28:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52e5…60ba
sports · 226 markets active 1h ago
6.5score
+$9,418 +10%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8,648 · open −$413
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,487
Realized+$8,648
Unrealized−$413
Win rate (resolved)61%
Wins / losses136 / 88
Whale WR (big bets)71%
Est. fees paid−$1,004
Open positions2
Markets (closed)224 / 226
History coverage192d
Avg bet$399
Trades / day2.6
Drawdown91%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 2 History 224 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$194
7 days+$1,123
14 days+$864
30 days+$5,821
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 57¢ 56¢ $1,500 $1,487 −$13 (-1%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 43¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group Stage Lavked 69¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 58¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs 9z (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage MOUZ 83¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage PARIVISION 65¢ 0¢ $800 $0 −$800 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 59¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Heroic (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage Aurora Gaming 55¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B PARIVISION 82¢ 0¢ $1,200 $0 −$1,200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 65¢ 0¢ $6,000 $0 −$6,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B BetBoom Team 44¢ 0¢ $370 $0 −$370 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs Team Spirit 54¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 53¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Gen.G 71¢ 0¢ $150 $0 −$150 (-100%)
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs LGD Gaming 36¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Team Liquid 42¢ 0¢ $300 $0 −$300 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 64¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 KT Rolster 62¢ 0¢ $600 $0 −$600 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Yandex 57¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Group Stage ex-RUBY 63¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 64¢ 0¢ $400 $0 −$400 (-100%)
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BetBoom Team 68¢ 0¢ $500 $0 −$500 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Falcons 54¢ 0¢ $1,000 $0 −$1,000 (-100%)
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage Team Spirit 44¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 MOUZ 41¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 14 $151 −$150 -99%
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro Jun 14 $202 −$200 -99%
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $504 +$154 +31%
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 13 $151 +$41 +27%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 13 $605 −$100 -16%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 13 $151 +$60 +40%
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $253 +$126 +50%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $415 +$217 +52%
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series Jun 09 $845 +$369 +44%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St Jun 09 $354 −$185 -52%
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro Jun 09 $175 −$45 -26%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage Jun 08 $303 +$144 +48%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $1,514 +$691 +46%
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 07 $505 −$500 -99%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $506 +$67 +13%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $203 +$182 +90%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $304 −$300 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $148 −$145 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 05 $1,518 +$965 +64%
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $306 −$300 -98%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 04 $660 −$300 -46%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major St Jun 02 $252 +$72 +29%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $10,143 +$8,936 +88%
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $607 +$337 +56%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $6,063 −$6,000 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $1,317 −$1,024 -78%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $808 −$800 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 29 $404 −$400 -99%
Dota 2: Aurora vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $3,338 +$1,808 +54%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $607 +$346 +57%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $1,013 −$1,000 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $405 −$400 -99%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $404 +$221 +55%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $202 −$200 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 28 $203 −$200 -98%
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $354 +$202 +57%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $202 +$126 +62%
Dota 2: OG vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $504 +$181 +36%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 27 $202 +$120 +60%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $1,010 +$487 +48%
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $405 −$45 -11%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage May 26 $353 −$350 -99%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffs May 25 $3,526 +$1,121 +32%
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs Ursa (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series May 25 $709 −$500 -70%
Counter-Strike: Lavked vs Phantom (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 3 Group St May 25 $202 −$200 -99%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $506 +$314 +62%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 24 $203 −$200 -99%
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $1,007 +$292 +29%
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 23 $153 +$20 +13%
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs May 22 $3,639 +$2,034 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$8,316
crypto 1% −$42
other 0% −$25
politics 0% −$23
weather 0% $0
finance 0% +$1
world 0% +$13
culture 0% +$3
tech 0% −$10
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Majo BUY Natus Vincere 57¢ $1,519 1h
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 43¢ $407 4h
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI BUY Gen.G 71¢ $151 13h
Counter-Strike: illwill vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #4 Gro BUY Virtus.pro 61¢ $202 13h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 76¢ $201 22h
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Legacy 76¢ $302 22h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY MOUZ 41¢ $102 23h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 SELL Vitality 64¢ $406 23h
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Monte (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY Team Falcons 78¢ $151 38h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major BUY Natus Vincere 71¢ $151 38h
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY Vitality 78¢ $503 38h
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 BUY TheMongolz 66¢ $253 2d
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Spirit 65¢ $415 3d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 69¢ $239 5d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St SELL ex-RUBY 32¢ $169 5d
Counter-Strike: Virtus.pro vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series BUY Virtus.pro 69¢ $606 5d
Counter-Strike: ex-RUBY vs RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Group St BUY ex-RUBY 65¢ $354 5d
Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs Bebop (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 4 Gro BUY INOX Division 67¢ $175 5d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 68¢ $50 6d
Counter-Strike: Monte vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage BUY BetBoom Team 67¢ $252 6d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Yandex 68¢ $1,514 7d
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs LGD Gaming (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 68¢ $505 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 SELL G2 70¢ $573 7d
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY G2 61¢ $506 7d
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 BUY MIBR 52¢ $203 8d
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 53¢ $304 8d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY Team Falcons 40¢ $148 8d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $202 9d
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY BetBoom Team 60¢ $1,315 9d
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs BUY LGD Gaming 35¢ $102 10d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-18.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -3.2% -12.4% 62% 62% +10.3%
≤30d 61 -14.0% -22.2% 56% 56% +0.2%
≤90d 189 -12.9% -21.2% 60% 49% -0.5%
all 224 -9.5% -18.2% 61% 48% -0.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.6 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -18.2% 48% -0.5%
10% -26.0% 34% -10.0%
15% -33.1% 23% -18.7%
20% -39.7% 13% -26.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,487.04 · official $1,487.31 (match) · 611 history records