trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | +0.1% | -9.5% | 100% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 5 | -0.0% | -9.6% | 20% | 0% | -9.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 21% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 18 | +0.0% | -9.5% | 17% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.5% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.3% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 26 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 15 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 10 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Eric Swalwell win the California Governor Election in 2026? | May 28 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Oprah Winfrey win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 27 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Olivier Faure win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 19 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Tereza Cristina win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | May 18 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Mathilde Panot win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 13 | $109 | +$1 | +1% |
| Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | May 06 | $109 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Apr 18 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 12 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 m | Apr 09 | $110 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomin | Mar 31 | $110 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Fernando Alonso be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Mar 22 | $111 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 16 | $111 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the Orlando Magic win the 2026 NBA Finals? | Mar 12 | $111 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election? | Mar 09 | $111 | $0 | +0% |