Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T13:03:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52dc…6617
crypto · 679 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$7,855 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,855 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$7,855
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses442 / 379
Whale WR (big bets)76%
Open positions0
Markets (closed)821 / 679
History coverage18d
Avg bet$470
Trades / day165.8
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 821 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,307
7 days−$8,449
14 days−$13,745
30 days−$7,855
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $590 $0 −$590 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $530 $0 −$530 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 12¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $221 $0 −$221 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $226 $0 −$226 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $412 $0 −$412 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $168 $0 −$168 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $23 $0 −$23 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Down 18¢ 0¢ $102 $0 −$102 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Down 38¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET Up 5¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Down 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $242 $0 −$242 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $40 $0 −$40 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 12 $221 −$221 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $226 −$226 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 12 $412 −$412 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$102 -30684%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $25 −$25 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$56 -15028%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$90 -13352%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$89 -7860%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$81 -56550%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $140 −$140 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $57 −$57 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $706 −$706 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $23 −$23 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $135 −$135 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $30 −$30 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$101 -23404%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$4,482
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $15 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 75¢ $117 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 14¢ $19 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $112 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $113 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 13¢ $18 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $22 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $112 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 25¢ $33 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $98 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 22¢ $29 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $101 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $105 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $46 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $122 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 11¢ $15 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $110 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $104 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 21¢ $28 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $109 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $20 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $25 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 64¢ $104 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 26¢ $54 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $64 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $48 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $69 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $88 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET BUY Up 28¢ $35 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +41%
net ROI/market (all)-17.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 465 -17.1% -25.0% 34% 33% -15.4%
≤30d 821 -9.0% -17.6% 54% 41% -11.2%
≤90d 821 -9.0% -17.6% 54% 41% -11.2%
all 821 -9.0% -17.6% 54% 41% -11.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover165.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.6% 41% -11.2%
10% ← realistic here -25.5% 27% -19.7%
15% -32.7% 20% -27.4%
20% -39.3% 11% -34.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records