Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T21:56:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52d9…fb1a
sports · 1063 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$97,865 +24%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$98,379 · open −$515
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$19,535
Realized+$98,379
Unrealized−$515
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses482 / 437
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$2,038
Open positions38
Markets (closed)919 / 1063
History coverage8d
Avg bet$380
Trades / day364.0
Drawdown20%
Kalshi-fit75%
Chart Positions 38 History 919 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,557
7 days+$70,760
14 days+$98,379
30 days+$98,379
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? No 96¢ 96¢ $5,508 $5,505 −$3 (-0%)
Will AC Goianiense win on 2026-06-12? No 55¢ 54¢ $3,170 $3,061 −$109 (-3%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 1 Paraguay? No 90¢ 90¢ $2,654 $2,654 +$0 (+0%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? No 96¢ 96¢ $1,994 $1,986 −$7 (-0%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? No 90¢ 90¢ $1,466 $1,474 +$8 (+1%)
Partizan vs. BC Dubai BC Dubai 27¢ 100¢ $193 $715 +$522 (+270%)
ITF Kutaisi: Robin Catry vs Julian Alonso Vivanco Julian Alonso Vivanco 38¢ 50¢ $460 $604 +$144 (+31%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 168.5 Under 43¢ 44¢ $504 $516 +$12 (+2%)
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? Yes 9¢ 10¢ $458 $483 +$25 (+6%)
Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Tara Wurth 20¢ 50¢ $186 $467 +$281 (+151%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 Under 85¢ 86¢ $459 $462 +$3 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 1.5 Under 76¢ 78¢ $387 $400 +$13 (+3%)
Maccabi Tel-Aviv vs. Hapoel Holon BC Maccabi Tel-Aviv 88¢ 100¢ $258 $292 +$34 (+13%)
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees Tampa Bay Rays 43¢ 38¢ $256 $229 −$27 (-11%)
Exact Score: United States 3 - 3 Paraguay? No 99¢ 99¢ $162 $163 +$0 (+0%)
Valencia vs. Joventut Valencia 74¢ 100¢ $89 $120 +$31 (+35%)
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Paraguay? No 88¢ 88¢ $96 $96 +$1 (+1%)
Spread: United States (-2.5) Paraguay 92¢ 92¢ $48 $48 +$0 (+1%)
Will Hong Kong SAR win on 2026-06-09? No 50¢ 100¢ $21 $41 +$21 (+100%)
Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5) New York Yankees 11¢ 26¢ $15 $36 +$21 (+136%)
Will Club The Strongest win on 2026-05-22? No 53¢ 73¢ $16 $22 +$6 (+37%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 2 Paraguay? No 94¢ 94¢ $20 $20 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: United States 1 - 1 Paraguay? No 85¢ 86¢ $16 $17 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 1.5 Under 61¢ 62¢ $13 $13 +$0 (+1%)
United States vs. Paraguay: Paraguay O/U 2.5 Over 5¢ 6¢ $10 $11 +$1 (+10%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
ITF Kutaisi: Robin Catry vs Julian Alonso Vivanco Jun 12 $460 +$144 +31%
Makarska: Rebecca Sramkova vs Tara Wurth Jun 12 $186 +$281 +151%
Athletics vs. Los Angeles Angels: O/U 15.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +122%
Spread: CR Flamengo (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 +$1 +156%
Houston Astros vs. Texas Rangers: O/U 6.5 Jun 12 $0 +$1 +132%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5 Jun 12 $40 −$40 -100%
Kayserispor vs. Çaykur Rizespor: Both Teams to Score Jun 12 $1 $0 +30%
Miami Marlins vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 12 $0 +$1 +300%
CD Palestino vs. CD Riestra: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Miami Marlins vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +127%
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +122%
Spread: TSG 1899 Hoffenheim (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +54%
Centurion: Alec Beckley vs Constantin Bittoun Kouzmine Jun 12 $0 +$1 +170%
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-05-13? Jun 12 $0 $0 +85%
Fujieda MYFC vs. Iwaki FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Union De Santa Fe vs. Ferro Carril Oeste Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
FC Ōsaka vs. Zweigen Kanazawa: O/U 4.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Spread: Celtics (-11.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +15%
Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Spread: Club Nacional de Football (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Spread: Tromsø IL (-2.5) Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Will Grêmio FBPA win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Will AS FAR vs. Difaâ Hassani El Jadida end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Audax CS Italiano vs. CA Barracas Central: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +8%
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +300%
Grêmio FBPA vs. Montevideo City Torque: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +245%
Minnesota Twins vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +670%
Spread: Pittsburgh Pirates (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Nashville SC vs. New York City FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +59%
CA Rosario Central vs. CA Sarmiento: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +9%
Spread: San Diego FC (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +67%
Houston Astros vs. Minnesota Twins Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Spread: EC Bahia (-2.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
Everton de Viña del Mar vs. CD Coquimbo Unido: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +43%
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Brighton & Hove Albion FC end in a draw? Jun 12 $0 $0 +132%
Washington Nationals vs. Chicago White Sox: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +186%
Atlanta Braves vs. Miami Marlins: O/U 10.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +117%
USL Dunkerque vs. Stade Lavallois Mayenne FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics: O/U 11.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +96%
Spread: Pistons (-1.5) Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
AC Goianiense vs. Goiás EC: O/U 5.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +3%
Spartak Subotica vs. Borac Jun 12 $0 $0 +25%
Will Cerezo Ōsaka win on 2026-05-23? Jun 12 $0 $0 +14%
Washington Nationals vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 12.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +108%
RB Leipzig vs. 1. FC Union Berlin: O/U 3.5 Jun 12 $0 $0 +144%
Besiktas vs. Bahcesehir Koleji Jun 12 $80 −$80 -100%
Roland Garros ATP: Michael Zheng vs Dino Prizmic Jun 12 $114 −$114 -100%
Al Hazem SC vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $29 −$29 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 64% +$73,963
sports 35% +$47,819
world 0% +$21
crypto 0% +$119
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $24 2m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $229 3m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $306 8m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $233 8m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $48 8m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $72 9m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $72 11m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $3,353 15m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $76 17m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $24 17m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $153 19m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $107 19m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $382 19m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $62 20m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $153 20m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $14 21m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 1 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $54 23m
Exact Score: United States 0 - 1 Paraguay? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 25m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 25m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 25m
Exact Score: United States 3 - 0 Paraguay? BUY No 96¢ $13 25m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 26m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 26m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 2.5 BUY Under 85¢ $26 26m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 26m
United States vs. Paraguay: United States O/U 0.5 BUY Under 25¢ $3 26m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
Exact Score: United States 2 - 3 Paraguay? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 27m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +43%
net ROI/market (all)+8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 855 +1.6% -8.0% 51% 42% +12.3%
≤30d 919 +19.7% +8.3% 52% 43% +16.0%
≤90d 919 +19.7% +8.3% 52% 43% +16.0%
all 919 +19.7% +8.3% 52% 43% +16.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover364.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +8.3% 43% +16.0%
10% ← realistic here -2.1% 37% +4.9%
15% -11.5% 32% -5.2%
20% -20.2% 27% -14.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $19,534.96 · official $19,505.89 (match) · 3500 history records