Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T07:16:07+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52cf…5090
crypto · 1162 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$13,638 -64%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,731 · open +$52
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$102
Realized−$3,731
Unrealized+$52
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses537 / 594
Open positions4
Markets (closed)1131 / 1162
History coverage60d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 1131 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2,249
7 days−$2,336
14 days−$2,235
30 days−$2,235
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes 15¢ 48¢ $15 $48 +$34 (+223%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $11 $20 +$9 (+88%)
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Up 59¢ 100¢ $12 $20 +$8 (+69%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 62¢ 68¢ $12 $14 +$1 (+9%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 1, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $47 $0 −$47 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - April 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Down 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 18, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $13 $0 −$13 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 13, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 14 $317 −$317 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET Jun 14 $76 −$105 -138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $94 −$114 -121%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 14 $106 −$106 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 14 $46 −$46 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$46 -195%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $115 −$115 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 11, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 14 $13 −$15 -110%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 24, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $69 −$59 -86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 14 $70 −$70 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - April 5, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $53 −$53 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 31, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$32 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $541 −$718 -133%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET Jun 14 $109 −$109 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 12? Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$3 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +52%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +79%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$4 +105%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $9 +$5 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $11 +$9 +86%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$9 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$5 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $0 $0 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$13 +173%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$7 +119%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$10 -97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$8 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $13 +$7 +52%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$10 +110%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$1,542
world 0% +$22
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Up 62¢ $13 0m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $12 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 5m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $8 10m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $11 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $2 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $10 15m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $13 20m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $7 20m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $11 25m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $3 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $13 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $9 30m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $10 35m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $11 35m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $8 40m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 40m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 37¢ $5 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $0 45m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $4 50m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $10 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $6 55m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 55m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $9 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +47%
net ROI/market (all)-17.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 286 -9.9% -18.5% 44% 44% -47.6%
≤30d 396 -5.9% -14.9% 47% 47% -37.4%
≤90d 1131 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 47% -24.5%
all 1131 -8.3% -17.0% 47% 47% -24.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -17.0% 47% -24.5%
10% ← realistic here -24.9% 46% -31.8%
15% -32.2% 44% -38.4%
20% -38.8% 41% -44.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $102.18 · official $95.25 · 3500 history records