Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T07:16:31+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52c5…e9fd
crypto · 253 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
+$1 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$1 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$1
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses122 / 131
Open positions0
Markets (closed)253 / 253
History coverage4d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day72.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 253 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3
7 days+$1
14 days+$1
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Up 14¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Down 44¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +124%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +124%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +101%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$5 +312%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 +$2 +114%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $1 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 44m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 57m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 57m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET BUY Up 36¢ $1 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-11.8%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 253 -2.5% -11.8% 48% 48% -9.4%
≤30d 253 -2.5% -11.8% 48% 48% -9.4%
≤90d 253 -2.5% -11.8% 48% 48% -9.4%
all 253 -2.5% -11.8% 48% 48% -9.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover72.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.8% 48% -9.4%
10% ← realistic here -20.2% 48% -18.1%
15% -28.0% 48% -26.0%
20% -35.0% 47% -33.2%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 375 history records