Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T03:36:30+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x52b7…7a84
crypto · 598 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$19 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$19 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$6
Realized−$19
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)67%
Wins / losses401 / 195
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions1
Markets (closed)596 / 598
History coverage69d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day16.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 596 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$17
7 days+$0
14 days−$21
30 days−$4
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Down 40¢ 55¢ $2 $3 +$1 (+36%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET Up 52¢ 46¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-12%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 69¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 74¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Up 75¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 76¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Down 80¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$3 +66%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$3 -47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$2 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$1 -34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 12 $5 +$1 +20%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$8
sports 0% −$5
other 0% −$7
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 40¢ $2 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 5¢ $0 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 50m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 45¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET BUY Up 37¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET BUY Up 35¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 43¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET SELL Up 15¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:15PM-9:30PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-9:00PM ET BUY Up 38¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:30PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +58%
net ROI/market (all)-10.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 140 -4.3% -13.4% 61% 42% -9.4%
≤30d 537 -0.7% -10.2% 70% 63% -9.6%
≤90d 596 -1.0% -10.5% 67% 58% -10.1%
all 596 -1.0% -10.5% 67% 58% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -10.5% 58% -10.1%
10% -19.0% 48% -18.7%
15% -26.8% 19% -26.5%
20% -34.0% 4% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.77 · official $5.77 (match) · 1557 history records