Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T09:16:17+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5291…d4b6
sports · 39 markets active 10h ago
0.0score
+$188,125 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$188,125 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$0
Realized+$188,125
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses22 / 17
Whale WR (big bets)80%
Est. fees paid−$20,352
Open positions0
Markets (closed)39 / 39
Avg bet$43,189
Trades / day49.4
Drawdown53%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 0 History 39 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57,833
7 days+$242,865
14 days+$242,865
30 days+$188,125
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 paiN 52¢ 0¢ $26,122 $0 −$26,122 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Astralis 60¢ 0¢ $28,793 $0 −$28,793 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Natus Vincere 16¢ 0¢ $7,174 $0 −$7,174 (-100%)
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone Casper Ruud 82¢ 0¢ $25,165 $0 −$25,165 (-100%)
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? No 15¢ 0¢ $15,000 $0 −$15,000 (-100%)
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Seattle Mariners 51¢ 0¢ $98,272 $0 −$98,272 (-100%)
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Kansas City Royals 49¢ 0¢ $56,077 $0 −$56,077 (-100%)
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks San Francisco Giants 51¢ 0¢ $49,562 $0 −$49,562 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Natus Vincere 37¢ 0¢ $36,085 $0 −$36,085 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Legacy 65¢ 0¢ $29,866 $0 −$29,866 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies Philadelphia Phillies 62¢ 0¢ $62,677 $0 −$62,677 (-100%)
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian Jaqueline Cristian 28¢ 0¢ $16,726 $0 −$16,726 (-100%)
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs Chicago Cubs 58¢ 0¢ $38,229 $0 −$38,229 (-100%)
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals St. Louis Cardinals 33¢ 0¢ $29,491 $0 −$29,491 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 NRG 29¢ 0¢ $14,687 $0 −$14,687 (-100%)
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Texas Rangers 53¢ 0¢ $25,175 $0 −$25,175 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Cleveland Guardians 54¢ 0¢ $42,000 $0 −$42,000 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $99,717 −$98,272 -99%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $56,943 −$56,077 -98%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $15,280 −$15,000 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner Jun 11 $36,767 −$36,085 -98%
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 11 $7,329 −$7,174 -98%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 11 $58,723 +$41,296 +70%
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 10 $79,494 +$113,478 +143%
Counter-Strike: Monte vs paiN (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 09 $55,402 +$44,598 +80%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $55,196 +$19,808 +36%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 08 $42,579 −$42,000 -99%
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $43,138 +$31,921 +74%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $44,758 +$34,126 +76%
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $16,674 +$15,575 +93%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 08 $49,516 +$52,125 +105%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $68,448 +$33,755 +49%
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 07 $103,387 +$36,628 +35%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Texas Rangers Jun 06 $25,530 −$25,175 -99%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $64,285 +$13,011 +20%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs GamerLegion (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Jun 06 $73,214 +$42,471 +58%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Monte (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $53,775 +$19,439 +36%
Counter-Strike: G2 vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $56,685 +$27,059 +48%
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs 9z (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $28,803 −$28,793 -100%
Dota 2: Team Yandex vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs Jun 06 $13,981 +$14,811 +106%
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs MIBR (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $30,056 −$29,866 -99%
Counter-Strike: paiN vs TYLOO (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 06 $26,345 −$26,122 -99%
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlins Jun 06 $46,867 +$36,160 +77%
Counter-Strike: NRG vs BIG (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $15,000 −$14,687 -98%
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs FlyQuest (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Jun 05 $30,070 +$45,855 +152%
Cleveland Guardians vs. Philadelphia Phillies May 22 $63,391 −$62,677 -99%
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-05-24? May 22 $29,966 +$33,557 +112%
Houston Astros vs. Chicago Cubs May 22 $38,628 −$38,229 -99%
Hamburg European Open: Alex de Minaur vs Tommy Paul May 22 $9,973 +$28,655 +287%
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian May 22 $17,088 −$16,726 -98%
Geneva Open: Casper Ruud vs Mariano Navone May 22 $25,279 −$25,165 -100%
New York Mets vs. Washington Nationals May 22 $61,333 +$53,748 +88%
Geneva Open: Arthur Rinderknech vs Alexander Bublik May 21 $29,910 +$31,423 +105%
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals May 21 $29,988 −$29,491 -98%
San Francisco Giants vs. Arizona Diamondbacks May 20 $50,291 −$49,562 -99%
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20? May 20 $30,574 +$19,727 +64%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 95% +$149,842
other 5% +$38,283
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles BUY Seattle Mariners 51¢ $99,717 10h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $1 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $1 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $1 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 49¢ $31,812 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $12 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $1 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $4 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $1 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $1 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $2 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $25,083 12h
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals BUY Kansas City Royals 48¢ $14 12h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $691 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $1 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $1 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $1,628 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $18 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $0 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $1 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $18 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $1,648 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $11,267 13h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY No 15¢ $9 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit - Map 2 Winner BUY Natus Vincere 37¢ $36,767 13h
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag BUY Natus Vincere 16¢ $0 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-4.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 28 +5.7% -4.3% 61% 61% +7.5%
≤30d 39 +5.6% -4.5% 56% 56% +0.6%
≤90d 39 +5.6% -4.5% 56% 56% +0.6%
all 39 +5.6% -4.5% 56% 56% +0.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover49.4 tr/day
realistic slip~18%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -4.5% 56% +0.6%
10% -13.6% 54% -9.0%
15% ← realistic here -22.0% 54% -17.8%
20% -29.6% 41% -25.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1123 history records