Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T23:38:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x528f…2101
sports · 675 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9,218 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9,189 · open −$29
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1,271
Realized−$9,189
Unrealized−$29
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses355 / 308
Whale WR (big bets)60%
Est. fees paid−$5,843
Open positions13
Markets (closed)663 / 675
History coverage66d
Avg bet$662
Trades / day46.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 13 History 663 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,488
7 days−$9,568
14 days−$8,664
30 days−$13,028
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $230 $266 +$35 (+15%)
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $248 $219 −$29 (-12%)
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? No 81¢ 86¢ $200 $211 +$11 (+6%)
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? Yes 45¢ 34¢ $190 $146 −$44 (-23%)
World Cup: Scoreless Team? No 21¢ 21¢ $72 $73 +$1 (+1%)
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 63¢ 66¢ $63 $66 +$3 (+5%)
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $70 $64 −$6 (-8%)
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $44 $54 +$10 (+23%)
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup? Yes 73¢ 70¢ $45 $43 −$2 (-4%)
Will Ferran Torres be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $44 $42 −$2 (-5%)
Will Ecuador win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $45 $38 −$8 (-17%)
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 1¢ 1¢ $40 $34 −$6 (-15%)
Will the Los Angeles Rams win the 2027 NFL league championship? Yes 8¢ 16¢ $8 $16 +$8 (+94%)
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Adam Walton 68¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Toronto Blue Jays 57¢ 0¢ $350 $0 −$350 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Alexander Bublik 73¢ 0¢ $100 $0 −$100 (-100%)
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 0¢ $790 $0 −$790 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $355 −$350 -99%
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Jun 13 $794 −$790 -100%
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton Jun 13 $202 −$200 -99%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 13 $689 +$162 +24%
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz Jun 13 $101 −$100 -99%
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? Jun 13 $9 −$9 -97%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $151 +$66 +44%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $8 +$32 +371%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $152 +$181 +119%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $202 +$138 +68%
HSBC Championships: Marie Bouzkova vs Donna Vekic Jun 12 $101 −$43 -43%
Libema Open: Gabriela Ruse vs Elise Mertens Jun 12 $102 −$102 -100%
HSBC Championships: Victoria Mboko vs Karolina Pliskova Jun 12 $137 −$137 -100%
Libema Open: Adrian Mannarino vs Arthur Rinderknech Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Jun 12 $302 −$302 -100%
Libema Open: Hubert Hurkacz vs Marton Fucsovics Jun 12 $272 −$272 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Yannick Hanfmann vs Aleksandar Kovacevic Jun 12 $203 −$203 -100%
Libema Open: Emma Navarro vs Caty McNally Jun 12 $133 −$133 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Nick Kyrgios vs Corentin Moutet Jun 12 $103 −$103 -100%
Libema Open: Gabriel Diallo vs Adrian Mannarino Jun 12 $507 −$507 -100%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 12 $715 −$715 -100%
Stuttgart Open: Daniel Altmaier vs Frances Tiafoe Jun 12 $572 −$572 -100%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 12 $1,104 −$1,104 -100%
Hurricanes vs. Golden Knights Jun 12 $1,573 −$1,573 -100%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $1,377 +$353 +26%
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? Jun 11 $100 +$16 +16%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $102 +$161 +158%
Ilkley: Lulu Sun vs Mary Stoiana Jun 11 $203 −$134 -66%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $225 +$145 +65%
Libema Open: Ugo Humbert vs Benjamin Bonzi Jun 11 $304 +$188 +62%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $112 +$193 +172%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $584 −$472 -81%
Stuttgart Open: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Alexander Bublik Jun 10 $156 +$71 +46%
Ilkley: Luca Nardi vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 10 $463 +$231 +50%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Yannick Hanfmann Jun 10 $1,003 +$120 +12%
Ilkley: Taylah Preston vs Harmony Tan Jun 09 $525 −$346 -66%
Libema Open: Tallon Griekspoor vs Botic van de Zandschulp Jun 09 $503 +$6 +1%
HSBC Championships: Katie Boulter vs Leylah Fernandez Jun 09 $11 +$19 +172%
HSBC Championships: Sorana Cirstea vs Maddison Inglis Jun 09 $1,382 −$51 -4%
Stuttgart Open: Roberto Bautista Agut vs Marcos Giron Jun 09 $203 +$148 +73%
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Jun 09 $1,802 +$506 +28%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 09 $799 −$504 -63%
Tyler: Karl Poling vs Andre Ilagan Jun 09 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Charles Leclerc get pole position at the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Pri Jun 09 $102 −$102 -100%
Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix? Jun 09 $102 −$102 -100%
Libema Open: Mia Pohankova vs Clara Tauson Jun 09 $304 −$304 -100%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 09 $500 −$500 -100%
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's French Open? Jun 09 $118 −$118 -100%
HSBC Championships: Qinwen Zheng vs Jaqueline Cristian Jun 09 $387 −$387 -100%
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubs Jun 09 $1,112 −$1,112 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 97% −$1,656
other 3% −$7,585
weather 0% +$23
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-13? BUY No 81¢ $201 47m
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 45¢ $193 48m
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays BUY Toronto Blue Jays 57¢ $355 2h
World Cup: Scoreless Team? BUY No 21¢ $51 2h
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $794 6h
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Harry Wendelken vs Adam Walton BUY Adam Walton 68¢ $202 8h
Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY 50¢ $25 11h
Stuttgart Open: Alexander Bublik vs Taylor Fritz BUY Alexander Bublik 73¢ $101 11h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $0 12h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 97¢ $200 12h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 90¢ $100 12h
World Cup: Scoreless Team? BUY No 21¢ $23 12h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 74¢ $212 12h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $27 12h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $19 12h
Will USA reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 63¢ $17 12h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro BUY Ben Shelton 70¢ $177 12h
Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? BUY Yes 2¢ $9 20h
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? BUY Yes 69¢ $151 26h
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter BUY Katie Boulter 21¢ $8 28h
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz BUY Taylor Fritz 45¢ $152 31h
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron BUY Ben Shelton 59¢ $202 33h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $0 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $1 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $2 37h
Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 1¢ $3 37h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +51%
net ROI/market (all)-13.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 63 -19.5% -27.2% 43% 41% -38.2%
≤30d 238 -4.6% -13.6% 48% 46% -17.5%
≤90d 663 -4.3% -13.4% 54% 51% -11.4%
all 663 -4.3% -13.4% 54% 51% -11.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.5 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -13.4% 51% -11.4%
10% -21.7% 44% -19.9%
15% ← realistic here -29.2% 35% -27.6%
20% -36.2% 25% -34.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1,270.96 · official $1,261.99 (match) · 3500 history records