Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T09:41:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5289…0f5d
crypto · 77 markets active 0h ago
4.5score
+$442 +33%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$356 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$356
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)60%
Wins / losses46 / 31
Est. fees paid−$7
Open positions0
Markets (closed)77 / 77
History coverage8d
Avg bet$18
Trades / day26.2
Drawdown29%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 77 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$173
7 days+$163
14 days+$356
30 days+$356
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 14 $30 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 14 $32 +$5 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 14 $21 +$3 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $32 −$5 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 14 $18 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 14 $17 −$16 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $53 +$9 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 14 $29 +$4 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 14 $8 +$1 +17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 14 $12 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$2 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 14 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$2 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 14 $8 −$3 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$5 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$3 +240%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$2 +41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $17 +$13 +74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $6 $0 -0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$3 -61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 14 $36 +$3 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $6 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$2 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $23 $0 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $7 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 14 $2 $0 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $54 −$54 -100%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $130 +$211 +162%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $22 +$9 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$17 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$2 -45%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$38
sports 31% +$384
other 2% +$11
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $31 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Down 5¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $21 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $9 10m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $25 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $12 13m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $11 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 82¢ $25 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $21 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $21 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $4 24m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 53¢ $11 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET BUY Down 81¢ $53 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 63¢ $5 37m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $0 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $28 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET SELL Up 39¢ $5 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Down 69¢ $21 44m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $8 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $2 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +49%
net ROI/market (all)-2.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 76 +6.0% -4.1% 59% 49% +2.3%
≤30d 77 +8.3% -2.0% 60% 49% +14.3%
≤90d 77 +8.3% -2.0% 60% 49% +14.3%
all 77 +8.3% -2.0% 60% 49% +14.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover26.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -2.0% 49% +14.3%
10% ← realistic here -11.4% 31% +3.4%
15% -19.9% 27% -6.6%
20% -27.8% 21% -15.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 281 history records