Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T12:08:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5285…1457
crypto · 672 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,668 -16%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$7,300 · open −$12
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3
Realized−$7,300
Unrealized−$12
Win rate (resolved)26%
Wins / losses244 / 683
Est. fees paid−$5
Open positions1
Markets (closed)927 / 672
History coverage54d
Avg bet$16
Trades / day62.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 927 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$6,711
7 days−$6,711
14 days−$6,293
30 days−$6,549
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Up 38¢ 8¢ $15 $3 −$12 (-80%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $84 $0 −$84 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $39 $0 −$39 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 48¢ 0¢ $42 $0 −$42 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Up 30¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $95 $0 −$95 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 9¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 25¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $92 $0 −$92 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 18¢ 0¢ $35 $0 −$35 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 14 $84 −$84 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$42 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 14 $95 −$95 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 14 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET Jun 14 $92 −$80 -87%
Solana Up or Down - March 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 14 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 14 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 28, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 14 $37 −$37 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 14 $21 −$21 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 19, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 14 $153 −$153 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
XRP Up or Down - March 11, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $48 −$53 -110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 15, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $101 −$101 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 17, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 14 $79 −$79 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 27, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
LoL: GAM Esports vs Fukuoka SoftBank Hawks Gaming (BO5) - LCP Playoffs Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 14 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 14 $44 −$44 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 18, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 14 $83 −$35 -42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 14 $13 −$19 -151%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 14, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 22, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 14 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 13, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 21, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 24, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 14 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 27, 7AM ET Jun 14 $62 −$62 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$55
sports 2% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET BUY Up 38¢ $5 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 18¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 16¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET BUY Down 26¢ $5 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 32¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 56m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET SELL Up 96¢ $97 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET BUY Up 34¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 72¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET BUY Down 9¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 4¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET BUY Down 5¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-45.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 427 -82.0% -83.7% 9% 9% -78.8%
≤30d 724 -45.2% -50.4% 24% 23% -56.0%
≤90d 927 -40.2% -45.9% 26% 25% -51.0%
all 927 -40.2% -45.9% 26% 25% -51.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover62.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -45.9% 25% -51.0%
10% ← realistic here -51.1% 25% -55.7%
15% -55.8% 24% -59.9%
20% -60.1% 22% -63.9%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.96 · official $2.96 (match) · 3500 history records