Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:59:44+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5275…098d
sports · 1158 markets active 1h ago
1.0score
+$8 +0%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$8 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Net worth$30
Realized+$8
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1137 / 18
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions3
Markets (closed)1155 / 1158
History coverage72d
Avg bet$10
Trades / day16.6
Drawdown66%
Kalshi-fit84%
Chart Positions 3 History 1155 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$0
7 days+$0
14 days+$1
30 days+$3
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Will Luke Kornet lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? No 100¢ 100¢ $10 $10 +$0 (+0%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? Jun 14 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? Jun 12 $10 $0 +0%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner Jun 11 $10 $0 +0%
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
Anna-Lena Friedsam vs. Ela Plosnik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Kayseri: Irina Khayndrava vs Defne Aydemir Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) Jun 09 $10 $0 +0%
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Will the next Claude Opus 4.8 model added to the Arena Leaderboard deb Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 08 $10 $0 +0%
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-1.5) vs Cobolli (+1.5) Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Brasilia: Marjorie Souza vs Luiza Fullana Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Caserta: Federica Urgesi vs Alessandra Mazzola Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Mobile Legends Bang Bang: Team Spirit vs Verso Time - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs M80 (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2 Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
StarCraft II: herO vs Cure (BO7) - Global StarCraft II League Playoffs Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
ICC Cricket World Cup League Two: Canada vs USA Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Call of Duty: OpTic Texas vs Riyadh Falcons (BO5) - Call of Duty Leagu Jun 07 $10 $0 +0%
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5) Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
WTT - Men's Singles: Simon Gauzy vs Kanak Jha Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Ella Haavisto vs Lucie Petruzelova Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
ITF Banja Luka: Mirjana Jovanovic vs Allegra Korpanec Davies Jun 06 $10 $0 +0%
Set Handicap: Zverev (-2.5) vs Mensik (+2.5) Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Jakub Mensik vs. Alexander Zverev: Total Sets O/U 3.5 Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 15°C on June 5? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
FDA approves Vepdegestrant? Jun 05 $10 $0 +0%
McDonald vs. Hijikata: Match O/U 21.5 Jun 04 $10 $0 +0%
Birmingham (Doubles): Broom/Stevenson vs Kirkov/Peers Jun 04 $10 $0 +0%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 3? Jun 03 $10 $0 +0%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 63% +$2
weather 16% +$2
other 16% +$2
finance 2% $0
crypto 2% $0
tech 1% $0
world 0% $0
politics 0% +$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Jose Alvarado lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Will Luke Kornet lead the 2026 NBA Finals in total rebounds? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Haiti 1 - 3 Scotland? BUY No 100¢ $10 1h
Counter-Strike: Metizport vs Atputies (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 100¢ $10 18h
Counter-Strike: BASEMENT BOYS vs Gaming By Legends - Map 2 Winner BUY BASEMENT BOYS 100¢ $10 19h
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) BUY Milwaukee Brewers 100¢ $10 27h
SpaceX IPO: Will Elon Musk Ring the Bell? BUY No 100¢ $10 29h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.8T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $10 30h
Will SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be betwe BUY Yes 100¢ $10 31h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.5T and $3.0T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $10 32h
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (HIGH) $2.0T by June 30? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.5T at market close on BUY Yes 100¢ $10 32h
Will SpaceX's market cap be between $1.5T and $2.0T at market close on BUY No 100¢ $10 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 32h
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T? BUY No 100¢ $10 32h
BC Zenit vs. Lokomotiv Kuban BUY Lokomotiv Kuban 100¢ $10 39h
Total Kills Over/Under 29.5 in Game 2? BUY Under 100¢ $10 42h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: ex-RUBY (-6.5) vs G2 Ares (+6.5) BUY G2 Ares 100¢ $10 42h
Will Nikita Kucherov win the 2025–2026 NHL Hart Memorial Trophy? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 2d
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $86 on June 11? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 2d
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) BUY Mexico 100¢ $10 2d
LoL: G2 NORD vs Galions - Game 1 Winner BUY G2 NORD 100¢ $10 2d
New York Yankees vs. Cleveland Guardians BUY New York Yankees 100¢ $10 3d
Boston Red Sox vs. Tampa Bay Rays BUY Tampa Bay Rays 100¢ $10 3d
Anna-Lena Friedsam vs. Ela Plosnik: Total Sets O/U 2.5 BUY Under 2.5 100¢ $10 3d
ITF Kayseri: Irina Khayndrava vs Defne Aydemir BUY Defne Aydemir 100¢ $10 4d
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5) BUY San Francisco Giants 100¢ $10 5d
France vs. Northern Ireland: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 100¢ $10 5d
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase June 2-8? BUY Yes 100¢ $10 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 36 +0.1% -9.4% 100% 0% -9.4%
≤30d 255 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.4%
≤90d 1155 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.5%
all 1155 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 0% -9.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover16.6 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -9.4% 0% -9.5%
10% -18.1% 0% -18.1%
15% -26.0% 0% -26.0%
20% -33.3% 0% -33.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $29.98 · official $29.98 (match) · 2340 history records