Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T06:07:23+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5273…9d2e
crypto · 1488 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$380 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$361 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$361
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)40%
Wins / losses601 / 886
Est. fees paid−$8
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1487 / 1488
History coverage62d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day32.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit94%
Chart Positions 1 History 1487 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$57
7 days−$64
14 days−$92
30 days−$164
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Up 48¢ 54¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+11%)
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? No 41¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? No 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? No 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? No 38¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25? No 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Yes 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26? No 43¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Draw at halftime? No 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26? Yes 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 14, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Up 51¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? No 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30? Yes 29¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -96%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +91%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +94%
Will Olympique de Marseille win on 2026-04-26? Jun 14 $6 −$11 -199%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10? Jun 14 $2 −$3 -196%
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026? Jun 14 $2 −$4 -200%
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $2 −$4 -197%
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $3 −$5 -196%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-25? Jun 14 $2 −$4 -198%
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-09? Jun 14 $2 −$4 -197%
Will Lille OSC win on 2026-04-26? Jun 14 $3 −$5 -198%
OGC Nice vs. Racing Club de Lens: Draw at halftime? Jun 14 $2 −$3 -197%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-24? Jun 14 $2 −$4 -197%
Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-04-30? Jun 14 $2 −$3 -196%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +84%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$2 +87%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 78% −$255
sports 14% −$58
other 6% −$40
world 1% −$1
finance 0% −$2
politics 0% −$4
economics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 0m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 12m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 16m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 22m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 24m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 37m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 42m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 45m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +40%
net ROI/market (all)-18.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 102 -15.8% -23.8% 45% 45% -27.0%
≤30d 409 -15.8% -23.8% 40% 40% -24.8%
≤90d 1487 -10.1% -18.6% 40% 40% -19.4%
all 1487 -10.1% -18.6% 40% 40% -19.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover32.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -18.6% 40% -19.4%
10% ← realistic here -26.4% 40% -27.1%
15% -33.5% 40% -34.2%
20% -40.0% 39% -40.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2.18 · official $2.23 (match) · 3500 history records