Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T17:22:58+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x525c…78a1
crypto · 911 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$33 -3%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$33 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$33
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)87%
Wins / losses796 / 115
Open positions0
Markets (closed)911 / 911
History coverage10d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day95.3
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 911 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$21
7 days−$100
14 days−$33
30 days−$33
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Up 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Down 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 83¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Down 82¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Down 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +5%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +9%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +2%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +3%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 11 $1 $0 +1%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$33
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 3m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 34m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 43m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 53m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-11.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 453 -14.9% -23.0% 79% 21% -28.1%
≤30d 911 -2.6% -11.9% 87% 37% -12.3%
≤90d 911 -2.6% -11.9% 87% 37% -12.3%
all 911 -2.6% -11.9% 87% 37% -12.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover95.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -11.9% 37% -12.3%
10% ← realistic here -20.3% 14% -20.7%
15% -28.0% 3% -28.3%
20% -35.1% 0% -35.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1915 history records