Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:49:42+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5252…6b84
weather · 177 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9 +4%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$49 · open +$59
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP weather specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$215
Realized−$49
Unrealized+$59
Win rate (resolved)31%
Wins / losses31 / 69
Open positions77
Markets (closed)100 / 177
History coverage3d
Avg bet$1
Trades / day74.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 77 History 100 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$12
7 days−$49
14 days−$49
30 days−$49
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 34°C or below on June 13? Yes 3¢ 63¢ $3 $56 +$53 (+1765%)
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 13? No 9¢ 100¢ $3 $32 +$29 (+953%)
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C or higher on June 13? No 29¢ 100¢ $3 $10 +$7 (+250%)
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C or below on June 13? No 49¢ 100¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+106%)
Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 22°C on June 13? No 40¢ 74¢ $3 $6 +$3 (+85%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 5¢ 10¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+76%)
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 21°C or below on June 13? No 61¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+64%)
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 30°C or below on June 13? No 84¢ 100¢ $3 $4 +$1 (+19%)
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C or higher on June 13? No 85¢ 92¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+9%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13? Yes 12¢ 12¢ $3 $3 +$0 (+4%)
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 78-79°F on June 13? No 75¢ 74¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-2%)
Will the lowest temperature in London be 14°C on June 13? No 34¢ 100¢ $1 $3 +$2 (+194%)
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 13? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-3%)
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 13? No 56¢ 50¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-10%)
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on June 13? Yes 7¢ 6¢ $3 $3 −$0 (-14%)
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 13? Yes 7¢ 8¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+19%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? Yes 14¢ 16¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+18%)
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 13? No 59¢ 63¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+7%)
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 84-85°F on June 13? No 55¢ 58¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+6%)
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on June 13? No 48¢ 99¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+107%)
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 14°C on June 13? No 65¢ 66¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+2%)
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 13? No 44¢ 44¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 13? No 75¢ 76¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 13? No 46¢ 30¢ $3 $2 −$1 (-34%)
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 11? No 51¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+96%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on June Jun 13 $1 $0 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 13 $2 −$1 -25%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 82-83°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +84%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 96-97°F on Ju Jun 13 $1 $0 +43%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +78%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +95%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 27°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +69%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 19°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 $0 +17%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 12? Jun 13 $1 +$1 +58%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on June Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C or higher on June Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on June Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on Jun Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 74-75°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 70-71°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 72-73°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +54%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 25°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +56%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +35%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 86-87°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 32°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$2 +149%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 94-95°F on June 11? Jun 12 $1 $0 +41%
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +63%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 94-95°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 +$1 +116%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 92-93°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 $0 +45%
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 18°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 22°C on June 11? Jun 12 $2 −$1 -33%
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 21°C on June 11? Jun 12 $1 +$1 +84%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 86°F or higher on Jun Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on Jun Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 88-89°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 90-91°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on Ju Jun 12 $1 −$1 -97%
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 80-81°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -98%
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 70-71°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 88-89°F on June 12? Jun 12 $1 −$1 -95%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 71°F or below on June Jun 11 $1 $0 +12%
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on Ju Jun 11 $1 $0 +33%
Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 24°C on June 10? Jun 11 $1 $0 +41%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
weather 100% +$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C or higher on June 13? BUY No 88¢ $1 0m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun BUY Yes 5¢ $1 7m
Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY Yes 10¢ $1 16m
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13? BUY Yes 6¢ $1 20m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY Yes 2¢ $1 31m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13? BUY Yes 7¢ $1 31m
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 12¢ $1 36m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun BUY Yes 8¢ $1 38m
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on Jun BUY Yes 8¢ $1 40m
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13? BUY Yes 8¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Miami be between 74-75°F on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 90-91°F on June 13? BUY Yes 14¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 94-95°F on June 13? BUY Yes 9¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 86-87°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on June 13? BUY Yes 5¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 84-85°F on June 13? BUY No 70¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 88-89°F on June 13? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 13¢ $1 1h
Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on June 13? BUY No 12¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY Yes 6¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on June BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 80-81°F on June 13? BUY No 74¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 82-83°F on June 13? BUY No 69¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 2¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June BUY Yes 4¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on Ju BUY Yes 7¢ $1 1h
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 84-85°F on Ju BUY Yes 1¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +31%
net ROI/market (all)-53.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 100 -49.0% -53.9% 31% 31% -53.1%
≤30d 100 -49.0% -53.9% 31% 31% -53.1%
≤90d 100 -49.0% -53.9% 31% 31% -53.1%
all 100 -49.0% -53.9% 31% 31% -53.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover74.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -53.9% 31% -53.1%
10% ← realistic here -58.3% 28% -57.5%
15% -62.3% 25% -61.6%
20% -66.0% 17% -65.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $215.15 · official $215.21 (match) · 285 history records