Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T02:43:09+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x524c…9ee3
crypto · 358 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$105 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$102 · open −$2
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$102
Unrealized−$2
Win rate (resolved)52%
Wins / losses186 / 171
Open positions1
Markets (closed)357 / 358
History coverage17d
Avg bet$48
Trades / day183.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 357 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$73
7 days−$106
14 days−$293
30 days−$102
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Up 10¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-95%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Up 80¢ 0¢ $24 $0 −$24 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $21 $0 −$21 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Down 5¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 7¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Up 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Down 73¢ 0¢ $22 $0 −$22 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Down 30¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 21¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 4¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 29¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Down 4¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 3¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $19 $0 −$19 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Up 73¢ 0¢ $44 $0 −$44 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $27 $0 −$27 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$10 +51%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $21 +$4 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $34 −$20 -57%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 14 $17 −$17 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 14 $20 +$5 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 14 $49 −$24 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 13 $39 +$11 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $55 +$3 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 13 $70 +$30 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $47 −$33 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 13 $45 +$5 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $18 +$7 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$23 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$2 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $171 +$41 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $45 −$24 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 13 $61 +$14 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $74 +$20 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$16 +178%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 13 $19 −$19 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 13 $39 +$11 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $35 −$10 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 13 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $42 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $64 +$19 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 09 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 09 $25 +$5 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET Jun 09 $45 +$8 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 09 $15 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 09 $24 −$24 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 09 $0 $0 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 09 $33 −$18 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 09 $38 −$23 -61%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$105
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET BUY Up 10¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $3 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $1 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Up 56¢ $14 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET BUY Down 29¢ $0 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 68¢ $17 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Down 65¢ $16 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET BUY Up 17¢ $4 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 30¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET BUY Up 69¢ $17 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET BUY Up 7¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 38¢ $10 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $18 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET BUY Up 13¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $18 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +45%
net ROI/market (all)-21.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 108 -17.7% -25.6% 54% 44% -11.5%
≤30d 357 -13.3% -21.5% 52% 45% -10.1%
≤90d 357 -13.3% -21.5% 52% 45% -10.1%
all 357 -13.3% -21.5% 52% 45% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover183.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -21.5% 45% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -29.0% 15% -18.7%
15% -35.9% 6% -26.5%
20% -42.2% 4% -33.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.12 · official $0.12 (match) · 3500 history records