Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:35:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5245…0e4f
crypto · 45 markets active 1h ago
6.0score
+$25 +8%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$25 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized+$25
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses32 / 12
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions1
Markets (closed)44 / 45
History coverage35d
Avg bet$7
Trades / day2.5
Drawdown72%
Kalshi-fit98%
Chart Positions 1 History 44 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$37
14 days+$44
30 days+$29
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? Yes 82¢ 82¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 60¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5) Thunder 55¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Cavaliers vs. Knicks Cavaliers 94¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Over 45¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +36%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$2 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$5 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$3 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 13 $30 −$3 -9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$4 -77%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$5 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -96%
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5 +$8 +152%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 +$2 +43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 13 $21 +$4 +19%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 +$7 +146%
Mexico vs. South Africa: Mexico O/U 0.5 Jun 11 $5 +$1 +16%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $5 +$5 +90%
Counter-Strike: TYLOO vs 9z - Map 1 Winner Jun 09 $5 +$4 +73%
Spread: Knicks (-4.5) Jun 06 $5 +$5 +93%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 06 $5 +$2 +33%
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 May 30 $9 −$9 -98%
Thunder vs. Spurs May 30 $4 +$5 +119%
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner May 20 $3 +$2 +70%
Cavaliers vs. Knicks May 20 $12 −$12 -100%
1H Spread: Thunder (-3.5) May 10 $4 −$4 -99%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 76% +$13
sports 22% +$12
other 2% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13? BUY Yes 82¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 81¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $8 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Down 25¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET SELL Up 95¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET SELL Down 47¢ $8 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Down 30¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $5 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET BUY Down 66¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET BUY Up 81¢ $5 8h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $3 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $9 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET SELL Up 30¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET BUY Up 70¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $14 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Up 27¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $5 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET SELL Down 37¢ $4 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +70%
net ROI/market (all)+4.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 37 +18.3% +7.0% 76% 73% +3.9%
≤30d 43 +18.4% +7.1% 74% 72% -0.4%
≤90d 44 +15.7% +4.7% 73% 70% -1.6%
all 44 +15.7% +4.7% 73% 70% -1.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover2.5 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here +4.7% 70% -1.6%
10% -5.3% 52% -11.1%
15% -14.5% 36% -19.6%
20% -22.9% 20% -27.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.03 · official $5.03 (match) · 101 history records