Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T01:13:29+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x5239…03e7
crypto · 1841 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$72 -2%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$72 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$72
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)90%
Wins / losses1657 / 193
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1850 / 1841
History coverage26d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day70.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1850 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$52
7 days−$45
14 days−$45
30 days−$72
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 97¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Down 87¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Up 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Down 91¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Up 87¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Up 88¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Will FC Barcelona vs. Eintracht Frankfurt end in a draw? Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +16%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +6%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$50
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 84¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET BUY Up 92¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET BUY Down 89¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $3 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Down 85¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Down 87¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 95¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Up 84¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Down 93¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 87¢ $3 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 85¢ $3 4h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +44%
net ROI/market (all)-10.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 680 -2.6% -11.9% 89% 46% -11.5%
≤30d 1850 -1.6% -10.9% 90% 44% -10.9%
≤90d 1850 -1.6% -10.9% 90% 44% -10.9%
all 1850 -1.6% -10.9% 90% 44% -10.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover70.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.9% 44% -10.9%
10% ← realistic here -19.5% 1% -19.4%
15% -27.2% 0% -27.2%
20% -34.4% 0% -34.3%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records