Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:02:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x522b…8671
sports · 194 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$43 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$43 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$43
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)79%
Wins / losses154 / 40
Est. fees paid−$53
Open positions0
Markets (closed)194 / 194
History coverage52d
Avg bet$61
Trades / day8.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 194 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$1
7 days−$112
14 days−$117
30 days−$198
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season G2 Esports 68¢ 0¢ $41 $0 −$41 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 20¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 HANJIN BRION 87¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
LoL: Estral Esports vs INTZ e-Sports (BO3) - Circuito Desafiante Playoffs Estral Esports 89¢ 0¢ $89 $0 −$89 (-100%)
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner JD Gaming 69¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner Jun 13 $361 −$3 -1%
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner Jun 13 $195 −$1 -1%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner Jun 12 $94 −$2 -2%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Jun 12 $79 −$9 -11%
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $173 +$16 +9%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM Jun 11 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B Jun 10 $161 −$61 -38%
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A Jun 10 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America Jun 08 $90 +$10 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $155 −$85 -55%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $202 +$1 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $142 +$3 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $90 −$1 -1%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $96 +$1 +1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $48 $0 +1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $57 +$4 +6%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $5 $0 +3%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $10 −$10 -98%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 1 Winner May 31 $86 $0 +0%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $5 $0 +1%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $4 +$1 +18%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $3 $0 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $5 $0 -4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 29 $48 +$7 +14%
LoL: Gen.G vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner May 29 $5 $0 -1%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 29 $5 $0 +10%
LoL: Nongshim Esports Academy vs Dplus KIA Challengers (BO3) - LCK Cha May 29 $45 +$5 +12%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 29 $15 $0 +0%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 29 $5 $0 -4%
LoL: Gen.G Global Academy vs DN SOOPers Challengers - Game 2 Winner May 29 $5 $0 -1%
LoL: T1 Academy vs KT Rolster Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers Leag May 28 $45 +$5 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 28 $4 +$1 +20%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 28 $50 +$4 +9%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 2 Winner May 28 $5 $0 -0%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner May 28 $7 −$2 -25%
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Roun May 25 $45 +$5 +11%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - May 25 $50 +$5 +10%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 1 May 25 $5 $0 +4%
LoL: Dplus KIA Challengers vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers - Game 2 May 25 $3 +$1 +23%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $45 +$5 +11%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 23 $19 $0 -2%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 23 $13 $0 -1%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 May 23 $4 $0 -4%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner May 23 $17 −$1 -5%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winner May 23 $4 $0 +10%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner May 22 $8 +$1 +13%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winner May 22 $5 $0 +1%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers May 22 $47 +$5 +11%
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winner May 22 $5 $0 +2%
LoL: KT Rolster Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth - Game 2 Winner May 22 $11 −$1 -8%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$43
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 95¢ $95 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $97 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 97¢ $97 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $97 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 85¢ $85 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner SELL Gen.G 81¢ $81 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 83¢ $84 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 3 Winner BUY Gen.G 82¢ $82 1h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 97¢ $97 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 98¢ $98 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner SELL Gen.G 97¢ $97 2h
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner BUY Gen.G 97¢ $97 2h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 92¢ $92 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 4 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 94¢ $94 22h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL T1 75¢ $71 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY T1 83¢ $79 24h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 78¢ $79 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 66¢ $60 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 69¢ $71 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL T1 65¢ $50 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 61¢ $57 25h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BUY T1 58¢ $46 25h
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 74¢ $4 2d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 74¢ $4 2d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 71¢ $57 2d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY Forsaken 61¢ $6 2d
LoL: PCIFIC vs Forsaken (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group B BUY PCIFIC 90¢ $90 2d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs LOUD (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America & LATAM BUY LOUD 90¢ $90 2d
LoL: UCAM Esports Club vs HMBLE (BO3) - EMEA Masters Group A BUY UCAM Esports Club 90¢ $90 2d
LoL: Fluxo W7M vs paiN Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup South America BUY Fluxo W7M 90¢ $90 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +69%
net ROI/market (all)-8.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 15 -4.2% -13.3% 53% 20% -14.4%
≤30d 84 -1.5% -10.9% 68% 44% -13.2%
≤90d 194 +1.4% -8.3% 79% 69% -9.7%
all 194 +1.4% -8.3% 79% 69% -9.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover8.5 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -8.3% 69% -9.7%
10% -17.0% 1% -18.3%
15% -25.0% 0% -26.2%
20% -32.4% 0% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 595 history records