Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T15:57:34+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

52
0x520d…7bb5
crypto · 447 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$979 -28%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$979 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$979
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)75%
Wins / losses359 / 122
Open positions0
Markets (closed)481 / 447
History coverage8d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day394.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 481 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$845
7 days−$966
14 days−$979
30 days−$979
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 95¢ 0¢ $16 $0 −$16 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Up 74¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Down 88¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 85¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Up 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Down 77¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Up 8¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Down 79¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Down 67¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Up 76¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Down 86¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Down 92¢ 0¢ $45 $0 −$45 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Up 94¢ 0¢ $60 $0 −$60 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 81¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$7 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 13 $45 −$45 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $43 −$43 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $39 −$39 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -102%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $64 −$64 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $55 −$55 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $11 +$2 +21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 +$1 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $9 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $7 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $8 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$1 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$1 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $7 +$2 +22%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$125
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 79¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 85¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 97¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 77¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 56¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 71¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 86¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +21%
net ROI/market (all)-19.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 423 -10.8% -19.3% 76% 17% -30.6%
≤30d 481 -10.5% -19.0% 75% 21% -30.1%
≤90d 481 -10.5% -19.0% 75% 21% -30.1%
all 481 -10.5% -19.0% 75% 21% -30.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover394.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -19.0% 21% -30.1%
10% ← realistic here -26.8% 9% -36.8%
15% -33.9% 7% -42.9%
20% -40.3% 5% -48.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records