Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:01:03+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51f9…19a0
sports · 1055 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$9,366 +3%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$3,764 · open −$18
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$25
Realized+$3,764
Unrealized−$18
Win rate (resolved)98%
Wins / losses1035 / 20
Whale WR (big bets)99%
Est. fees paid−$231
Open positions7
Markets (closed)1055 / 1055
History coverage31d
Avg bet$283
Trades / day90.8
Drawdown30%
Kalshi-fit66%
Chart Positions 7 History 1055 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$194
7 days−$746
14 days+$993
30 days+$3,720
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
First Blood in Game 2? GLYPH 99¢ 50¢ $14 $7 −$7 (-49%)
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) FUT Esports 91¢ 80¢ $5 $4 −$1 (-12%)
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner FUT Esports 82¢ 68¢ $4 $3 −$1 (-16%)
Map 3: Odd/Even Total Rounds? Even 99¢ 50¢ $6 $3 −$3 (-49%)
Game 1: Odd/Even Total Kills? Odd 98¢ 50¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Total Kills Over/Under 30.5 in Game 2? Under 98¢ 50¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-49%)
Map 2: Odd/Even Total Kills? Even 99¢ 50¢ $5 $2 −$2 (-50%)
Total Kills Over/Under 71.5 in Game 2? Under 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Spread: Gainare Tottori (-1.5) Gainare Tottori 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Ding Cuts vs DXA Esports - Map 1 Winner Ding Cuts 99¢ 0¢ $1,485 $0 −$1,485 (-100%)
Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: Both Teams to Score Yes 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 70.5 in Game 2? Under 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: O/U 3.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs Oxuji Esports 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-1.5) NEOM SC 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: O/U 1.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. NEOM SC: O/U 1.5 Under 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: O/U 2.5 Over 1¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1? Under 99¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Counter-Strike: Lazer Cats vs TNC - Map 2 Winner TNC 1¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Total Kills Over/Under 72.5 in Game 2? Under 99¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Gainare Tottori vs. Ōita Trinita: O/U 4.5 Over 0¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs Oxuji Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Pl Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Total Kills Over/Under 57.5 in Game 1? Jun 14 $15 −$15 -100%
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5) Jun 14 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $282 +$3 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 14 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $49 +$1 +2%
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5) Jun 14 $26 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 14 $254 +$3 +1%
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner Jun 14 $1,488 +$13 +1%
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) Jun 13 $518 +$10 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $150 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $589 +$41 +7%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $208 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $878 +$37 +4%
Counter-Strike: STATE vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Playoffs Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Misa Esports vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $5 $0 +6%
Counter-Strike: PURE vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $5 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs MOUZ (+1.5) Jun 13 $199 +$2 +1%
Map Handicap: FAL (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5) Jun 13 $408 +$4 +1%
Map Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Aurora Gaming (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,366 +$12 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs Jun 13 $115 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,498 +$14 +1%
Counter-Strike: Gaming By Legends vs Gatorian - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $1,498 +$13 +1%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Group Jun 13 $2 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs aimclub - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $185 +$8 +4%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $1,490 +$13 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $101 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $197 +$12 +6%
Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs B8 (+1.5) Jun 13 $1,485 +$13 +1%
Counter-Strike: Sashi Academy vs Washed - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $9 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: BMB (-1.5) vs Gaming By Legends (+1.5) Jun 13 $40 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs MASONIC - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $158 +$3 +2%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Minkens finest - Map 1 Winner Jun 13 $99 +$1 +1%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons - Map 2 Winner Jun 13 $466 +$4 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $947 −$222 -24%
Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo Jun 13 $1,108 −$166 -15%
Map Handicap: Washed (-1.5) vs STATE (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stag Jun 12 $1,485 +$13 +1%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: struggletony vs XI Esport (BO3) - Dust2.dk Ligaen Grou Jun 12 $12 $0 +1%
Map Handicap: st0ny (-1.5) vs XI Esport (+1.5) Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3 Jun 12 $2,950 +$55 +2%
Games Total: O/U 2.5 Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Invicta vs Sashi Academy - Map 2 Winner Jun 12 $186 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Washed vs STATE - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,430 +$71 +5%
Counter-Strike: Minkens finest vs Nexus (BO1) - ROG Journey Group B Jun 12 $5 $0 +1%
Counter-Strike: Grillmix vs Saab (BO1) - ROG Journey Group A Jun 12 $214 +$2 +1%
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs Spirit - Map 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,471 +$28 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 99% +$3,849
other 1% −$87
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs FUT Esports (+1.5) BUY FUT Esports 91¢ $5 3m
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports - Map 1 Winner BUY FUT Esports 82¢ $4 3m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Metizport 100¢ $284 13m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $20 16m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $19 16m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $74 17m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 SELL Over 100¢ $5 18m
Games Total: O/U 2.5 BUY Over 99¢ $5 19m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $36 19m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $7 23m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $102 23m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $9 23m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $10 24m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Metizport 99¢ $5 24m
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner SELL Metizport 100¢ $50 1h
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs Metizport - Map 1 Winner BUY Metizport 98¢ $49 1h
Map Handicap: VP (-1.5) vs illwill (+1.5) BUY illwill 99¢ $2 3h
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5) SELL Alliance 100¢ $26 3h
Map Handicap: ALL (-1.5) vs BASEMENT BOYS (+1.5) BUY Alliance 99¢ $26 3h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs SELL Nexus 100¢ $257 3h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 99¢ $37 3h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 99¢ $6 3h
Counter-Strike: Nexus vs Noir Verse (BO3) - ROG Journey Playoffs BUY Nexus 99¢ $211 3h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner SELL K27 100¢ $1,501 4h
Counter-Strike: K27 vs Walczaki - Map 1 Winner BUY K27 99¢ $1,488 4h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) SELL 9z 100¢ $529 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 99¢ $6 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 99¢ $7 16h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 99¢ $80 17h
Map Handicap: TS (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5) BUY 9z 98¢ $425 17h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +2%
net ROI/market (all)-9.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 125 -1.2% -10.6% 94% 1% -10.5%
≤30d 1015 +0.1% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.4%
≤90d 1055 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.4%
all 1055 +0.2% -9.4% 98% 2% -8.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover90.8 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -9.4% 2% -8.4%
10% ← realistic here -18.0% 1% -17.2%
15% -26.0% 0% -25.2%
20% -33.2% 0% -32.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $24.69 · official $24.69 (match) · 3500 history records