trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers | Philadelphia Phillies | 96¢ | 61¢ | $70 | $44 | −$26 (-37%) |
| Gigantes de Carolina vs. Cangrejeros de Santurce | Cangrejeros de Santurce | 94¢ | 81¢ | $35 | $30 | −$5 (-13%) |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Yes | 20¢ | 0¢ | $2 | $0 | −$2 (-100%) |
| Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding Decider Matches | Weibo Gaming | 98¢ | 0¢ | $20 | $0 | −$20 (-100%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces | Jun 14 | $35 | +$1 | +3% |
| Aguada Santeros vs. Mets de Guaynabo | Jun 14 | $35 | +$1 | +4% |
| Call of Duty: Los Angeles Thieves vs G2 Minnesota (BO5) - Call of Duty | Jun 14 | $35 | +$2 | +4% |
| Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Festina Lente (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo | Jun 14 | $70 | +$2 | +3% |
| Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun | Jun 14 | $70 | +$4 | +5% |
| Texas Rangers vs. Boston Red Sox | Jun 13 | $35 | +$1 | +2% |
| LoL: Team Liquid vs Cloud9 (BO5) - LCS Playoffs | Jun 13 | $35 | +$2 | +5% |
| ITF Los Angeles: Alina Shcherbinina vs Alexandra Vagramov | Jun 13 | $35 | +$1 | +4% |
| LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| ITF Monastir: Victoria Milovanova vs Lourdes Ayala | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| T20 ACC Premier Cup, Women: Thailand vs United Arab Emirates | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| ITF Hurghada: Martyna Kubka vs Gabriela Andrea Knutson | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| ITF Kayseri: Ivan Marrero Curbelo vs Dinko Dinev | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Overwatch: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - OCS China Stage 2 Seeding | Jun 13 | $20 | −$20 | -100% |
| Overwatch: Poker Face vs Falcons (BO3) - OCS Korea Stage 2 Group Stage | Jun 13 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| ITF Wuning: Zongyu Li vs Mai Hontama | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| ITF Maanshan: Matthew Dellavedova vs Chan-Yeong Oh | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| ITF Tokyo: Mayuka Aikawa vs Ikumi Yamazaki | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +5% |
| Counter-Strike: F5 Esports vs Wanted Goons (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +3% |
| Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm | Jun 13 | $40 | +$2 | +5% |
| ITF Tokyo: Hikaru Shiraishi vs Jangjun Kim | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| ITF Maanshan: Pawit Sornlaksup vs Kokoro Isomura | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| AHL: Toronto Marlies vs. Chicago Wolves | Jun 13 | $20 | +$1 | +4% |
| Counter-Strike: Marsborne vs Overtake (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playoffs | Jun 13 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Counter-Strike: Club 333 vs Iowa Stormboar (BO3) - NSTLGA League Playo | Jun 13 | $20 | $0 | +1% |
| Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics | Jun 13 | $50 | +$3 | +6% |
| Will United States vs. Paraguay end in a draw? | Jun 13 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | Jun 12 | $1 | $0 | -1% |
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 29 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 90% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤30d | 29 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 90% | 0% | -8.3% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 90% | 0% | -8.3% |
| all | 29 | -3.3% | -12.5% | 90% | 0% | -8.3% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal | -12.5% | 0% | -8.3% |
| 10% ← realistic here | -20.9% | 0% | -17.1% |
| 15% | -28.5% | 0% | -25.1% |
| 20% | -35.5% | 0% | -32.4% |