Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T19:48:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51eb…6bfa
sports · 2133 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$55,638 -106%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$55,633 · open −$5
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$149
Realized−$55,633
Unrealized−$5
Win rate (resolved)65%
Wins / losses1061 / 582
Whale WR (big bets)27%
Est. fees paid−$458
Open positions74
Markets (closed)1643 / 2133
History coverage22d
Avg bet$25
Trades / day117.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit95%
Chart Positions 74 History 1643 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$64,351
7 days−$62,215
14 days−$60,567
30 days−$55,633
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $8 $8 −$0 (-3%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-4%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-2%)
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $5 $4 −$0 (-2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 51¢ 52¢ $2 $2 +$0 (+1%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-1%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Up 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Down 51¢ 50¢ $2 $2 −$0 (-2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Al Hilal Saudi Club (-2.5) Jun 13 $3,500 −$3,500 -100%
Spread: Detroit Tigers (-1.5) Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Solana Up or Down - November 11, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
RCD Mallorca vs. Rayo Vallecano de Madrid: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Oh My God (BO3) - Esports World Cup China Qu Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Shymkent: Bekkhan Atlangeriev vs Viktor Durasovic Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Parma: Lisa Pigato vs Lucia Bronzetti Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
BMW Open: Denis Shapovalov vs Alex Molcan Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Boston Red Sox vs. Houston Astros Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 3, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Cervia: Sandro Kopp vs Max Alcala Gurri Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Oeiras 4: Andrea Lazaro Garcia vs Mona Barthel Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
XRP Up or Down - December 5, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-04? Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Bruins vs. Sabres Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-02-21? Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
Mauthausen: Lukas Neumayer vs Laslo Djere Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Swiatek vs. Sakkari: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 17, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Maple Leafs vs. Islanders: O/U 6.5 Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Tallahassee: Daniil Glinka vs Stefan Dostanic Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - December 6, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Madrid Open: Shuai Zhang vs Eva Lys Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - December 18, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET Jun 13 $100 −$100 -100%
VfB Stuttgart vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $5,934 −$5,934 -100%
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on December 15? Jun 13 $200 −$200 -100%
Barcelona Open: Pedro Martinez vs Lorenzo Sonego Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Menorca: Zdenek Kolar vs Sergio Callejon Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Mubadala Abu Dhabi Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Hailey Baptiste Jun 13 $86 −$86 -100%
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5) Jun 13 $21 −$21 -100%
Everton FC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 4.5 Jun 13 $40 −$40 -100%
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $49 −$49 -100%
FC Porto vs. VfB Stuttgart: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 25, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $31 −$31 -100%
Girona FC vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Wuning: Pavel Kotov vs Ilia Simakin Jun 13 $99 −$99 -100%
Idaho Vandals vs. Portland State Vikings: O/U 143.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Cleveland State Vikings: O/U 164.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Udinese Calcio vs. US Sassuolo Calcio: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $30 −$30 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mattia Bellucci vs Martin Landaluce Jun 13 $14 −$14 -100%
Göztepe SK vs. Kasımpaşa SK: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1 Jun 13 $20 −$20 -100%
Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Adolfo Vallejo vs Jaime Fa Jun 13 $60 −$60 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - November 23, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $25 −$25 -100%
Counter-Strike: INFURITY Gaming vs Kinoa (BO3) - United21 Group C Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
Leeds United FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5 Jun 13 $10 −$10 -100%
ITF Bol: Lea Nilsson vs Natalija Senic Jun 13 $27 −$27 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 77% +$4,835
crypto 20% +$3,553
other 3% +$500
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 33m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 34m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 35m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 36m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 37m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 37m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $2 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 38m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 39m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 39m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 39m
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 39m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET BUY Down 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $1 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $2 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
trap: profits on perfect fill only, loses on real
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +64%
net ROI/market (all)+9.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 953 +5.7% -4.4% 57% 57% -89.1%
≤30d 1643 +20.5% +9.0% 65% 64% -59.3%
≤90d 1643 +20.5% +9.0% 65% 64% -59.3%
all 1643 +20.5% +9.0% 65% 64% -59.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover117.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to5%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +9.0% 64% -59.3%
10% ← realistic here -1.4% 63% -63.2%
15% -10.9% 61% -66.8%
20% -19.7% 56% -70.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $148.78 · official $149.84 (match) · 3500 history records