Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T13:02:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51e3…637b
crypto · 463 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$204 -6%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$182 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$182
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)47%
Wins / losses216 / 246
Est. fees paid−$14
Open positions0
Markets (closed)462 / 463
History coverage44d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day27.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 462 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$29
7 days+$24
14 days+$20
30 days−$155
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Up 39¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $25 $0 −$25 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 14 $52 +$11 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 14 $22 +$13 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$19 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 14 $31 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$2 -5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 14 $31 −$30 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 14 $26 −$25 -96%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $15 +$9 +56%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $10 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET Jun 14 $7 −$1 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 14 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 14 $42 −$1 -1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 14 $69 +$80 +116%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET Jun 14 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET Jun 14 $26 +$1 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET Jun 14 $42 +$8 +18%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $3 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET Jun 14 $12 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET Jun 14 $10 +$15 +146%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $1 +$1 +143%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 14 $5 +$3 +62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Jun 14 $44 +$28 +63%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Jun 14 $4 +$4 +90%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET Jun 14 $4 −$1 -21%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +64%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +90%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 14 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 14 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 14 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 14 $7 −$3 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 14 $2 +$2 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$1 -29%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$3 -54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$1 +34%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $4 +$1 +25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 +$3 +87%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 67% −$151
sports 30% +$9
other 2% −$21
weather 1% −$18
world 0% $0
economics 0% −$1
politics 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $20 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET SELL Up 88¢ $41 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 72¢ $11 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $21 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET SELL Up 9¢ $0 8m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Up 19¢ $1 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $21 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $21 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Down 65¢ $10 15m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Up 92¢ $27 17m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET SELL Down 32¢ $7 19m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 20m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $10 21m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $10 22m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $10 25m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $10 26m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $10 30m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $21 31m
Solana Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 1¢ $1 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $5 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $21 35m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Down 7¢ $1 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 92¢ $6 39m
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $10 40m
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $10 40m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $15 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $1 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $10 46m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-23.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 112 -26.9% -33.9% 45% 38% -7.5%
≤30d 348 -19.7% -27.4% 45% 35% -14.4%
≤90d 462 -15.9% -23.9% 47% 39% -14.2%
all 462 -15.9% -23.9% 47% 39% -14.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover27.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -23.9% 39% -14.2%
10% ← realistic here -31.2% 33% -22.4%
15% -37.8% 25% -29.9%
20% -43.9% 19% -36.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1668 history records