Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T10:45:51+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51c7…a8f9
crypto · 381 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$68 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$68 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$68
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)48%
Wins / losses184 / 197
Open positions0
Markets (closed)381 / 381
History coverage170d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day5.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 381 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$4
7 days+$4
14 days+$4
30 days+$1
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Down 15¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Down 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Up 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Up 13¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Up 26¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Down 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Down 14¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Up 25¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 24¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 16¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Up 32¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $5 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $10 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $4 +$1 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET Jun 12 $7 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $7 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$1 -49%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$1 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $9 +$1 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $8 +$2 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$1 -17%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $1 +$1 +119%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET May 17 $2 +$1 +29%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET May 16 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET May 16 $2 $0 -22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET May 16 $4 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET May 16 $1 $0 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +40%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 15 $1 $0 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 15 $1 $0 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET May 14 $2 +$1 +67%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET May 14 $2 −$1 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET May 14 $2 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET May 14 $2 −$1 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET May 14 $2 $0 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET May 14 $1 +$1 +50%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET May 14 $2 −$1 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET May 14 $1 −$1 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET May 14 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET May 13 $2 +$2 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET May 13 $1 +$1 +59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET May 13 $2 $0 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET May 13 $1 −$1 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET May 13 $1 +$1 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET May 13 $2 +$1 +46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET May 13 $1 $0 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% −$68
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 78¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 76¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 74¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 68¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Up 64¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 44¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 60¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 57¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 54¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 43¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 46¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 37¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 36¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Up 41¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 42¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET SELL Down 39¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:15AM ET BUY Down 31¢ $1 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +37%
net ROI/market (all)-22.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 13 -9.1% -17.8% 69% 23% -3.2%
≤30d 38 -18.1% -25.9% 58% 34% -8.4%
≤90d 368 -15.0% -23.1% 46% 39% -17.8%
all 381 -14.4% -22.6% 48% 37% -16.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover5.4 tr/day
realistic slip~7%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -22.6% 37% -16.4%
10% -30.0% 31% -24.4%
15% -36.7% 23% -31.7%
20% -42.9% 17% -38.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1090 history records