Wallet analysis

2026-06-16T14:44:04+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
51 0x51c4…aa06 crypto 216 markets active 23h ago coverage 5d
BOTnot copyable crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
✗ bot/MM pace (57 trades/day) — uncopyable✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died
Total PnL −$1,909 (-8%) realized −$1,909 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -7% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -29% what you keep after slip
Net edge-29%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%109W / 107L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$104per market
Trades / day57.1pace
Fees−$2est.
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 5d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 99% −$2,970
sports 1% +$151
other 0% −$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
uncopyable — bot pace (57 trades/day)
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-16.2%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 216 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 50% -20.9%
≤30d 216 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 50% -20.9%
≤90d 216 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 50% -20.9%
all 216 -7.4% -16.2% 50% 50% -20.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover57.1 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.2% 50% -20.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 46% -28.4%
15% -31.6% 40% -35.4%
20% -38.3% 34% -41.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 6% · top 2 11% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -12% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
1% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -7% · $-wt -12% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early -9% → late -6% mixed
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$67 vs −$94 · ×0.71 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.72 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

5d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,909
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses109 / 107
Est. fees paid−$2
Open positions0
Markets (closed)216 / 216
History coverage5d
Avg bet$104
Trades / day57.1
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 216 Trades
no open positions (1 resolved losses — in realized PnL)
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 15 $14 +$12 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 15 $50 −$36 -71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 15 $117 −$117 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 15 $332 −$283 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 15 $47 −$47 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 15 $76 +$73 +96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET Jun 15 $35 −$35 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 15 $91 +$75 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 15 $52 −$52 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$31 +34%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 15 $64 +$15 +24%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 15 $91 +$47 +52%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 15 $66 −$66 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET Jun 15 $89 +$67 +75%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 15 $120 −$120 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 15 $152 −$123 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 15 $154 $0 +0%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 15 $86 +$74 +85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 15 $116 +$62 +54%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 15 $40 −$40 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET Jun 15 $116 +$37 +32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET Jun 15 $105 +$44 +42%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 15 $67 −$30 -44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 15 $73 +$67 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET Jun 15 $86 −$63 -73%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET Jun 15 $47 +$37 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$18 -70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 15 $90 +$70 +78%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 15 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 15 $28 −$28 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 15 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET Jun 15 $81 −$59 -73%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 15 $133 −$130 -98%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 15 $133 +$92 +69%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 15 $100 +$88 +88%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Jun 15 $74 +$37 +50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 15 $68 +$38 +56%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 15 $64 +$30 +46%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 15 $48 +$8 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET Jun 15 $25 +$97 +388%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 15 $60 +$49 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 14, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 15 $42 +$8 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 15 $52 −$41 -80%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 15 $70 +$64 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 15 $76 +$36 +47%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 15 $50 −$50 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 15 $53 +$47 +89%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 15 $53 +$49 +92%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 14, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET Jun 15 $112 −$36 -32%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Up 69¢ $26 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET SELL Down 99¢ $26 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET SELL Up 16¢ $14 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $50 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET SELL Down 12¢ $50 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 70¢ $332 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $117 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 43¢ $47 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $76 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $165 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $91 23h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET BUY Up 39¢ $35 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $90 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET BUY Down 45¢ $52 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $79 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET BUY Up 78¢ $64 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET BUY Up 64¢ $91 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $66 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $89 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET BUY Up 49¢ $120 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET SELL Up 10¢ $30 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $152 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET SELL Up 28¢ $155 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET BUY Up 25¢ $154 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $86 25h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET BUY Up 63¢ $116 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET BUY Up 54¢ $40 26h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET SELL Up 99¢ $153 27h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET BUY Up 73¢ $116 27h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 445 history records