Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T23:51:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51b1…e986
crypto · 67 markets active 0h ago
2.5score
+$11 +5%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$11 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$11
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)69%
Wins / losses46 / 21
Open positions0
Markets (closed)67 / 67
History coverage4d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day38.7
Drawdown48%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 67 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$2
7 days+$11
14 days+$11
30 days+$11
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET Down 16¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Up 90¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 98¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 31¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Down 75¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Up 22¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +24%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +8%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -96%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 -0%
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 11 $4 −$2 -48%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET Jun 11 $10 −$2 -20%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET Jun 11 $8 +$1 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7AM ET Jun 11 $4 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 6AM ET Jun 11 $6 +$1 +22%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5AM ET Jun 11 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +19%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 11 $2 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +6%
Solana Up or Down - June 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +30%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -94%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$1 -54%
XRP Up or Down - June 10, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$5 +130%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 10 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +72%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -25%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 10 $2 +$1 +39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 -7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET Jun 10 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 10 $7 −$3 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 10 $4 +$1 +28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 10 $6 −$2 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 10 $4 $0 +11%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +103%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 09 $2 +$2 +84%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 09 $4 −$2 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 09 $4 +$1 +18%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 99% +$11
other 1% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $2 28m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET BUY Up 67¢ $2 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET BUY Down 91¢ $2 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET BUY Down 80¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $2 1h
Hyperliquid Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $2 9h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET SELL Down 98¢ $4 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $2 17h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $2 24h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET SELL Up 60¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET SELL Up 21¢ $2 31h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Up 23¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Down 75¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Up 68¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET SELL Down 29¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Down 29¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET SELL Up 69¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11AM ET BUY Up 65¢ $2 32h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET SELL Down 70¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $2 33h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-3.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 67 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 48% -4.3%
≤30d 67 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 48% -4.3%
≤90d 67 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 48% -4.3%
all 67 +7.2% -3.0% 69% 48% -4.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover38.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -3.0% 48% -4.3%
10% ← realistic here -12.3% 33% -13.5%
15% -20.7% 22% -21.8%
20% -28.5% 13% -29.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 185 history records