Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T16:37:52+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x51ad…5e56
sports · 707 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$12,752 -12%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$12,752 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover⚠ Wins small, loses big
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$12,752
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses411 / 296
Whale WR (big bets)36%
Est. fees paid−$1,603
Open positions0
Markets (closed)707 / 707
History coverage34d
Avg bet$154
Trades / day86.7
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 707 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$722
7 days−$4,304
14 days−$4,236
30 days−$8,565
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Tucuman: Juan Bautista Torres vs Carlos Maria Zarate Juan Bautista Torres 12¢ 0¢ $9 $0 −$9 (-100%)
Modena: Dominika Salkova vs Martina Trevisan Martina Trevisan 12¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Libema Open: James McCabe vs Zizou Bergs Zizou Bergs 65¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Harriet Dart 26¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres San Diego Padres 44¢ 0¢ $307 $0 −$307 (-100%)
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Chicago Cubs 40¢ 0¢ $29 $0 −$29 (-100%)
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Nick Kyrgios 50¢ 0¢ $50 $0 −$50 (-100%)
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Julia Grabher 33¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Daria Snigur 37¢ 0¢ $539 $0 −$539 (-100%)
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Dayana Yastremska 37¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Libema Open: Otto Virtanen vs Kamil Majchrzak Otto Virtanen 38¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
Washington Nationals vs. San Francisco Giants Washington Nationals 82¢ 0¢ $329 $0 −$329 (-100%)
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Marco Trungelliti 92¢ 0¢ $200 $0 −$200 (-100%)
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Diego Padres Cincinnati Reds 81¢ 0¢ $245 $0 −$245 (-100%)
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? No 74¢ 0¢ $104 $0 −$104 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi Jun 13 $591 +$39 +7%
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle Jun 13 $100 +$5 +5%
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel Jun 13 $318 −$35 -11%
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler Jun 13 $195 +$4 +2%
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova Jun 13 $353 +$86 +24%
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 13 $552 +$90 +16%
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp Jun 13 $21 −$20 -99%
Libema Open: Barbora Krejcikova vs Magda Linette Jun 13 $25 +$10 +40%
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? Jun 13 $311 +$341 +110%
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds Jun 13 $298 −$96 -32%
New York Yankees vs. Toronto Blue Jays Jun 13 $87 −$4 -5%
Miami Marlins vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 13 $101 −$91 -89%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $76 +$40 +52%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Katie Boulter Jun 12 $200 +$6 +3%
Modena: Kaitlin Quevedo vs Laura Samson Jun 12 $51 −$34 -67%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Sho Shimabukuro Jun 12 $86 +$1 +1%
Ilkley: Keegan Smith vs Jacob Fearnley Jun 12 $13 +$14 +106%
Stuttgart Open: Mattia Bellucci vs Taylor Fritz Jun 12 $15 −$5 -36%
Stuttgart Open: Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard vs Alexander Bublik Jun 12 $14 +$4 +26%
Libema Open: Daria Snigur vs Robin Montgomery Jun 12 $549 −$539 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Ben Shelton vs Marcos Giron Jun 12 $140 −$9 -7%
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Jun 12 $8 $0 -2%
HSBC Championships: Harriet Dart vs Kamilla Rakhimova Jun 12 $130 −$86 -67%
Libema Open: Ajla Tomljanovic vs Dayana Yastremska Jun 12 $339 −$110 -33%
HSBC Championships: Elena Rybakina vs Tatjana Maria Jun 12 $25 +$39 +152%
Cattolica: Dusan Lajovic vs Oriol Roca Batalla Jun 12 $274 −$45 -17%
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? Jun 12 $105 −$104 -99%
Atlanta Braves vs. Chicago White Sox Jun 12 $101 −$7 -7%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $66 +$52 +79%
Tucuman: Nicolas Kicker vs Nick Hardt Jun 12 $67 −$43 -64%
Tucuman: Thiago Cigarran vs Juan Estevez Jun 11 $100 +$4 +4%
Tucuman: Federico Coria vs Andrea Collarini Jun 11 $40 +$17 +42%
Modena: Lucia Bronzetti vs Julia Grabher Jun 11 $204 −$200 -98%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $101 −$15 -15%
Stuttgart Open: Martin Landaluce vs Taylor Fritz Jun 11 $564 +$14 +2%
Tucuman: Guido Justo vs Hernan Casanova Jun 11 $101 +$23 +23%
Tucuman: Eduardo Ribeiro vs Johan Alexander Rodriguez Jun 11 $132 −$64 -48%
Stuttgart Open: Sho Shimabukuro vs Nick Kyrgios Jun 11 $51 −$50 -98%
Stuttgart Open: Jiri Lehecka vs James Duckworth Jun 11 $150 +$55 +36%
Libema Open: Panna Udvardy vs Daria Snigur Jun 11 $160 +$100 +63%
Lyon: David Jorda Sanchis vs Miguel Damas Jun 11 $300 +$15 +5%
Lyon: Marco Trungelliti vs Daniel Galan Jun 11 $200 −$200 -100%
Houston Astros vs. Los Angeles Angels Jun 11 $304 +$47 +16%
Minnesota Twins vs. Detroit Tigers Jun 11 $256 +$203 +79%
Spurs vs. Knicks Jun 11 $290 −$185 -64%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. New York Mets Jun 11 $246 +$9 +4%
Chicago Cubs vs. Colorado Rockies Jun 11 $29 −$29 -98%
Texas Rangers vs. Kansas City Royals Jun 11 $155 −$80 -52%
Seattle Mariners vs. Baltimore Orioles Jun 11 $246 −$20 -8%
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Pittsburgh Pirates Jun 11 $366 −$176 -48%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 98% −$13,033
crypto 2% +$3
other 1% +$279
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 99¢ $490 48m
HSBC Championships, Qualification: Johannus Monday vs Giovanni Mpetshi BUY Giovanni Mpetshi Perricard 74¢ $101 1h
Cattolica: Jesper de Jong vs Enrico Dalla Valle BUY Jesper de Jong 95¢ $100 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 99¢ $15 1h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 98¢ $100 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 88¢ $100 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 82¢ $50 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler SELL Martin Landaluce 34¢ $24 1h
Halle Open, Qualification: Martin Landaluce vs Marc-Andrea Huesler BUY Martin Landaluce 61¢ $45 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 57¢ $138 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 61¢ $152 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel SELL Taro Daniel 30¢ $27 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 60¢ $30 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 54¢ $10 2h
Bratislava: Federico Cina vs Taro Daniel BUY Taro Daniel 45¢ $10 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 91¢ $100 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 89¢ $201 2h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova SELL Emma Raducanu 100¢ $643 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 50¢ $25 2h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 50¢ $25 3h
Ilkley: Ashlyn Krueger vs Darja Vidmanova BUY Ashlyn Krueger 50¢ $2 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 94¢ $100 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 91¢ $100 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 70¢ $101 3h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp SELL Tamara Korpatsch 0¢ $0 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 92¢ $200 3h
HSBC Championships: Emma Raducanu vs Kamilla Rakhimova BUY Emma Raducanu 76¢ $50 3h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Tamara Korpatsch 16¢ $10 3h
Grass Court Championships, Qualification: Mia Pohankova vs Tamara Korp BUY Tamara Korpatsch 14¢ $10 3h
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Cincinnati Reds BUY Arizona Diamondbacks 95¢ $3 13h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +39%
net ROI/market (all)-16.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 159 -18.8% -26.5% 49% 31% -22.5%
≤30d 626 -6.9% -15.8% 58% 39% -18.6%
≤90d 707 -7.1% -16.0% 58% 39% -20.0%
all 707 -7.1% -16.0% 58% 39% -20.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover86.7 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.0% 39% -20.0%
10% ← realistic here -24.0% 26% -27.7%
15% -31.4% 17% -34.6%
20% -38.1% 12% -41.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records