Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T18:55:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5195…d864
crypto · 345 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$5,370 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,376 · open +$6
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2,154
Realized−$5,376
Unrealized+$6
Win rate (resolved)30%
Wins / losses240 / 567
Open positions1
Markets (closed)807 / 345
History coverage1d
Avg bet$89
Trades / day3184.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 807 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$5,376
7 days−$5,376
14 days−$5,376
30 days−$5,376
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 51¢ 100¢ $394 $777 +$383 (+97%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $283 $516 +$233 (+83%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 37¢ 100¢ $160 $438 +$278 (+173%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 55¢ 100¢ $88 $160 +$72 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $40 $96 +$56 (+138%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $20 $47 +$27 (+137%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $11 $35 +$24 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Up 42¢ 50¢ $29 $34 +$6 (+20%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $13 $27 +$13 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Up 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Up 90¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+11%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Up 32¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+212%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Down 52¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+92%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Up 72¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+39%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Down 32¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+212%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Up 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Up 50¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Down 91¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+10%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Down 42¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$0 (+138%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $394 +$383 +97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $180 −$180 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $160 +$278 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $88 +$72 +82%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $46 −$46 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$24 +212%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$13 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $69 −$69 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +11%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 +$1 +212%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 18, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +212%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 5, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 16, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +9%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +138%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +39%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +92%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +61%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +22%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +213%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 +354%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$812
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $9 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $1 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $13 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $56 1m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 92¢ $31 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $4 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 82¢ $1 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $24 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $7 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $9 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $8 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 62¢ $21 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $35 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $10 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $7 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $4 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $5 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $35 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $42 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $42 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $42 5m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 60¢ $42 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 62¢ $7 5m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 2¢ $0 6m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +24%
net ROI/market (all)-51.7%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 807 -46.6% -51.7% 30% 24% -22.3%
≤30d 807 -46.6% -51.7% 30% 24% -22.3%
≤90d 807 -46.6% -51.7% 30% 24% -22.3%
all 807 -46.6% -51.7% 30% 24% -22.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3184.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -51.7% 24% -22.3%
10% ← realistic here -56.3% 18% -29.8%
15% -60.5% 14% -36.6%
20% -64.4% 9% -42.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $2,153.68 · official $2,131.97 · 3500 history records