Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T20:01:10+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5194…8eb0
crypto · 8 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$9 -14%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$9 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Net worth$0
Realized−$9
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses4 / 4
Open positions0
Markets (closed)8 / 8
History coverage1d
Avg bet$8
Trades / day23.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 8 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$9
7 days−$9
14 days−$9
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +44%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 +3%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $5 $0 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$1 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 12 $20 +$2 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 +$2 +42%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$9
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 84¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 24¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 97¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 86¢ $5 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 86¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 72¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 64¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 48¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 88¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 71¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $0 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 64¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 68¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET BUY Up 79¢ $5 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET BUY Down 69¢ $5 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +25%
net ROI/market (all)-16.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 8 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 25% -21.9%
≤30d 8 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 25% -21.9%
≤90d 8 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 25% -21.9%
all 8 -7.5% -16.3% 50% 25% -21.9%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover23.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -16.3% 25% -21.9%
10% ← realistic here -24.3% 25% -29.3%
15% -31.6% 25% -36.2%
20% -38.4% 0% -42.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 32 history records