Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T08:41:59+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5187…aa17
crypto · 715 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$3,590 -10%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$3,590 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$3,590
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)54%
Wins / losses383 / 332
Whale WR (big bets)44%
Est. fees paid−$3
Open positions0
Markets (closed)715 / 715
History coverage66d
Avg bet$50
Trades / day25.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 715 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$81
7 days−$97
14 days−$617
30 days−$937
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Down 39¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Up 86¢ 0¢ $20 $0 −$20 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Up 36¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Up 33¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Up 34¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Up 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Down 36¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Down 29¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 60¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 45¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +105%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$6 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET Jun 13 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +101%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +68%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +65%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -95%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$11 +173%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$4 +70%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$13 +193%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET Jun 13 $7 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -97%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$12 +191%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET Jun 13 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET Jun 13 $7 +$14 +205%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$7 +110%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET Jun 13 $6 +$8 +129%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$9 +138%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$5 +79%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$5 -85%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$6 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$7 +122%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$6 -96%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 85% −$2,430
politics 8% −$529
world 7% −$596
sports 1% −$32
other 0% −$3
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 57¢ $6 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET BUY Up 45¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET BUY Up 33¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET BUY Up 55¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET BUY Down 40¢ $6 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $7 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET BUY Up 35¢ $7 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET BUY Up 50¢ $6 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET BUY Down 38¢ $7 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET BUY Up 58¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET BUY Up 52¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET BUY Down 34¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 4h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 58¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 59¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Up 29¢ $7 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 35¢ $6 5h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 57¢ $6 5h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-12.5%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 121 -12.7% -21.1% 42% 42% -21.0%
≤30d 361 -13.4% -21.6% 44% 43% -22.8%
≤90d 715 -3.3% -12.5% 54% 48% -18.6%
all 715 -3.3% -12.5% 54% 48% -18.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover25.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -12.5% 48% -18.6%
10% ← realistic here -20.8% 33% -26.4%
15% -28.5% 25% -33.5%
20% -35.5% 21% -40.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 2203 history records