Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T04:44:40+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x516f…dbcf
crypto · 1349 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$1,090 -18%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,090 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$1,090
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)44%
Wins / losses643 / 818
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1461 / 1349
History coverage70d
Avg bet$5
Trades / day44.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit99%
Chart Positions 0 History 1461 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$271
7 days−$276
14 days−$276
30 days−$325
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 12, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET Down 70¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET Down 43¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 59¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Down 49¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Down 84¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Up 41¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Up 47¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Up 37¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Up 35¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET Up 40¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Down 48¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Up 43¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Up 54¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Down 45¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET Up 27¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Down 72¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Up 20¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 15, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 6:35AM-6:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $0 −$2 -1411%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 10, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 13 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Solana Up or Down - April 3, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Solana Up or Down - March 7, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 8, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$826
other 0% +$4
world 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? SELL Yes 100¢ $10 48m
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 41¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Up 50¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $0 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Down 26¢ $1 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET SELL Down 51¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Up 77¢ $4 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET BUY Down 44¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 12, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET BUY Down 47¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Down 42¢ $2 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 3h
Will United States win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 47¢ $5 4h
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 20¢ $2 10h
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12? BUY Yes 54¢ $5 10h
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 32¢ $3 28h
Will Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 38¢ $4 28h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET SELL Down 41¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Up 44¢ $2 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $2 33h
Will Mexico win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 69¢ $2 33h
Will South Africa win on 2026-06-11? BUY Yes 11¢ $1 33h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 34h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET SELL Up 31¢ $1 34h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +27%
net ROI/market (all)-33.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 147 -80.5% -82.4% 11% 4% -72.9%
≤30d 311 -45.2% -50.5% 34% 10% -37.9%
≤90d 1461 -26.6% -33.6% 44% 27% -26.4%
all 1461 -26.6% -33.6% 44% 27% -26.4%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover44.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -33.6% 27% -26.4%
10% ← realistic here -39.9% 22% -33.4%
15% -45.7% 12% -39.8%
20% -51.1% 8% -45.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 3500 history records