Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T01:28:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5145…dd71
sports · 131 markets active 1h ago
3.5score
+$4,599 +11%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$4,272 · open +$327
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$3,360
Realized+$4,272
Unrealized+$327
Win rate (resolved)56%
Wins / losses71 / 55
Whale WR (big bets)75%
Est. fees paid−$445
Open positions5
Markets (closed)126 / 131
History coverage9d
Avg bet$328
Trades / day46.5
Drawdown47%
Kalshi-fit82%
Chart Positions 5 History 126 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3,999
7 days+$4,630
14 days+$4,272
30 days+$4,272
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 Under 54¢ 89¢ $594 $979 +$385 (+65%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 81¢ $704 $896 +$192 (+27%)
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) Australia 68¢ 68¢ $748 $742 −$5 (-1%)
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) Haiti 63¢ 64¢ $693 $710 +$16 (+2%)
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 Under 49¢ 6¢ $294 $33 −$261 (-89%)
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Chicago White Sox 47¢ 0¢ $564 $0 −$564 (-100%)
Hungary vs. Kazakhstan: O/U 3.5 Under 64¢ 0¢ $384 $0 −$384 (-100%)
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? No 29¢ 0¢ $174 $0 −$174 (-100%)
Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5) New York Liberty 52¢ 0¢ $312 $0 −$312 (-100%)
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Costa Rica? Yes 7¢ 0¢ $98 $0 −$98 (-100%)
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Yes 22¢ 0¢ $132 $0 −$132 (-100%)
Spread: England (-2.5) Costa Rica 57¢ 0¢ $342 $0 −$342 (-100%)
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Costa Rica? Yes 2¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 4.5 Over 57¢ 0¢ $278 $0 −$278 (-100%)
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Bolivia 53¢ 0¢ $318 $0 −$318 (-100%)
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Under 53¢ 0¢ $318 $0 −$318 (-100%)
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Seattle Storm 30¢ 0¢ $330 $0 −$330 (-100%)
Will Tajikistan vs. India end in a draw? No 74¢ 0¢ $448 $0 −$448 (-100%)
Russia vs. Trinidad and Tobago: O/U 5.5 Over 23¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Spurs vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5 Under 45¢ 0¢ $270 $0 −$270 (-100%)
Indonesia vs. Mozambique: O/U 3.5 Over 19¢ 0¢ $112 $0 −$112 (-100%)
Dallas Wings vs. Minnesota Lynx Dallas Wings 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Costa Rica? Yes 5¢ 0¢ $28 $0 −$28 (-100%)
Guatemala vs. Czechia: O/U 3.5 Under 59¢ 0¢ $354 $0 −$354 (-100%)
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-09? Yes 60¢ 0¢ $360 $0 −$360 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Spread: Brazil (-1.5) Jun 14 $770 +$330 +43%
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 Jun 13 $161 −$161 -100%
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) Jun 13 $715 +$385 +54%
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5) Jun 13 $450 +$650 +144%
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 Jun 13 $300 −$294 -98%
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) Jun 13 $576 −$564 -98%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 Jun 13 $324 −$324 -100%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5) Jun 13 $144 +$456 +317%
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5) Jun 13 $151 +$193 +128%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm Jun 13 $39 −$38 -97%
Golden State Valkyries vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 156.5 Jun 13 $9 −$9 -100%
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 7.5 Jun 13 $64 +$36 +56%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-1.5) Jun 13 $258 +$342 +133%
Spread: Washington Mystics (-2.5) Jun 13 $288 +$312 +108%
Will Canada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw? Jun 12 $263 +$537 +205%
Toronto Tempo vs. Washington Mystics: O/U 170.5 Jun 12 $324 −$318 -98%
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12? Jun 12 $82 +$98 +120%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-10.5) Jun 12 $328 +$272 +83%
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-11.5) Jun 12 $298 +$302 +101%
Las Vegas Aces vs. PortlandFire: O/U 171.5 Jun 12 $48 +$50 +104%
Korea Republic vs. Czechia: O/U 1.5 Jun 12 $770 +$330 +43%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes: O/U 7.5 Jun 12 $456 +$144 +32%
Golden Knights vs. Hurricanes Jun 12 $649 +$451 +70%
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5) Jun 12 $857 +$243 +28%
Spread: Indiana Fever (-9.5) Jun 12 $306 +$294 +96%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream: O/U 164.5 Jun 12 $318 +$282 +89%
New York Liberty vs. Atlanta Dream Jun 12 $31 −$30 -97%
Phoenix Mercury vs. Dallas Wings Jun 12 $3 −$3 -98%
Chicago Sky vs. Indiana Fever Jun 11 $121 −$121 -100%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 2.5 Jun 11 $738 +$462 +63%
Will Mexico vs. South Africa end in a draw? Jun 11 $132 −$132 -100%
Spread: Mexico (-1.5) Jun 11 $677 −$671 -99%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 167.5 Jun 11 $25 +$30 +122%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm: O/U 170.5 Jun 11 $306 +$294 +96%
Spread: Spurs (-12.5) Jun 11 $503 +$524 +104%
Spread: Spurs (-20.5) Jun 11 $562 +$538 +96%
Spread: Spurs (-1.5) Jun 11 $638 +$462 +72%
Mexico vs. South Africa: O/U 1.5 Jun 11 $197 −$192 -98%
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Seattle Storm Jun 11 $330 −$330 -100%
Will Bolivia win on 2026-06-10? Jun 11 $182 −$177 -97%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 2.5 Jun 10 $388 +$212 +55%
England vs. Costa Rica: O/U 4.5 Jun 10 $730 +$188 +26%
Spread: Portugal (-2.5) Jun 10 $61 +$23 +37%
Spread: Algeria (-1.5) Jun 10 $322 −$318 -99%
Bolivia vs. Algeria: O/U 3.5 Jun 10 $612 −$605 -99%
Exact Score: England 1 - 1 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $32 −$31 -97%
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-10? Jun 10 $174 −$174 -100%
Exact Score: England 2 - 2 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $19 −$18 -96%
Exact Score: England 1 - 2 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $6 −$6 -97%
Exact Score: England 2 - 1 Costa Rica? Jun 10 $101 −$98 -97%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 87% +$5,483
other 12% −$995
crypto 1% +$123
world 0% −$12
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $59 34m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $158 34m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $16 34m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $32 34m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $389 34m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $16 34m
Spread: Scotland (-1.5) BUY Haiti 63¢ $23 34m
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $715 59m
Minnesota Lynx vs. Las Vegas Aces: O/U 174.5 BUY Under 49¢ $294 1h
Indiana Fever vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 169.5 BUY Over 32¢ $161 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5 BUY Under 54¢ $605 2h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $196 4h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $208 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $61 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $106 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $3 5h
Atlanta Braves vs. New York Mets: O/U 8.5 BUY Over 49¢ $300 5h
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5) BUY Chicago White Sox 47¢ $576 5h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $4 6h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $11 6h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $5 7h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $11 7h
Spread: Türkiye (-1.5) BUY Australia 68¢ $144 7h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $140 7h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $0 7h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $1 7h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $179 7h
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Minnesota Twins: O/U 9.5 BUY Under 54¢ $3 7h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $109 8h
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5) BUY Qatar 65¢ $37 8h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-8.9%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 110 +1.4% -8.2% 57% 56% +2.9%
≤30d 126 +0.6% -8.9% 56% 56% +0.3%
≤90d 126 +0.6% -8.9% 56% 56% +0.3%
all 126 +0.6% -8.9% 56% 56% +0.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover46.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -8.9% 56% +0.3%
10% ← realistic here -17.7% 56% -9.3%
15% -25.6% 41% -18.1%
20% -32.9% 34% -26.1%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,360.37 · official $3,360.48 (match) · 504 history records