trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 6 | +0.2% | -9.3% | 100% | 0% | -9.3% |
| ≤30d | 19 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 89% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤90d | 19 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 89% | 0% | -9.5% |
| all | 19 | -0.5% | -10.0% | 89% | 0% | -9.5% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -10.0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| 10% | -18.6% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.5% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.7% | 0% | -33.3% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 13 to June 15, 2026? | No | 100¢ | 100¢ | $6 | $6 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 14? | Jun 14 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026? | Jun 13 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on June 12? | Jun 12 | $9 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 11? | Jun 11 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from June 8 to June 10, 2026? | Jun 10 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026? | Jun 09 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on June 7? | Jun 07 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 4 to June 6, 2026? | Jun 06 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 4? | Jun 04 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from June 1 to June 3, 2026? | Jun 03 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on June 2? | Jun 02 | $9 | $0 | +0% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? | Jun 01 | $2 | $0 | -2% |
| Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential ele | Jun 01 | $1 | $0 | -11% |
| Will Elon Musk post 1080-1119 tweets in May 2026? | Jun 01 | $8 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 30? | May 30 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 22 to May 29, 2026? | May 29 | $5 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 28? | May 28 | $6 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 27? | May 27 | $7 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026? | May 26 | $8 | $0 | +0% |