Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T16:38:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

51
0x5116…27da
crypto · 902 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$2,138 -22%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$2,138 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$5
Realized−$2,138
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)49%
Wins / losses542 / 568
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)1110 / 902
History coverage7d
Avg bet$11
Trades / day412.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 1110 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$3,090
7 days−$2,110
14 days−$2,138
30 days−$2,138
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 63¢ 100¢ $3 $5 +$2 (+59%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Up 46¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Up 53¢ 0¢ $17 $0 −$17 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Down 47¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $11 $0 −$11 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Down 50¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Down 51¢ 0¢ $8 $0 −$8 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Down 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Down 59¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Down 57¢ 0¢ $12 $0 −$12 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $18 $0 −$18 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Down 55¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Down 62¢ 0¢ $32 $0 −$32 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Down 2¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Down 58¢ 0¢ $7 $0 −$7 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 12 $26 −$26 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 3, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $18 −$18 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 8:20PM-8:25PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 26, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$13 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $11 −$11 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 19, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 25, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $22 −$22 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET Jun 12 $7 −$7 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 22, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $16 −$16 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 12 $9 −$9 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 12 $12 −$12 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $15 −$15 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$1,209
sports 0% $0
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET BUY Down 66¢ $3 14m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $3 32m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 61¢ $3 34m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 42¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 47¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 45¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 67¢ $3 47m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 48m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Down 48¢ $3 48m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 59¢ $3 59m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 54¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 46¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 59¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Down 47¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 60¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET BUY Down 57¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Up 46¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET BUY Down 58¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 71¢ $4 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $4 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 80¢ $4 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-26.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1106 -18.7% -26.5% 49% 48% -26.6%
≤30d 1110 -18.7% -26.4% 49% 48% -26.5%
≤90d 1110 -18.7% -26.4% 49% 48% -26.5%
all 1110 -18.7% -26.4% 49% 48% -26.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover412.6 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -26.4% 48% -26.5%
10% ← realistic here -33.5% 47% -33.5%
15% -39.9% 46% -39.9%
20% -45.8% 29% -45.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $5.08 · official $5.08 (match) · 3500 history records