trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -3.2% | -12.4% | 0% | 0% | -12.2% |
| ≤30d | 6 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 17% | 0% | -11.0% |
| ≤90d | 6 | -1.6% | -11.0% | 17% | 0% | -11.0% |
| all | 26 | -4.9% | -13.9% | 27% | 0% | -10.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -13.9% | 0% | -10.6% |
| 10% | -22.2% | 0% | -19.2% |
| 15% | -29.7% | 0% | -27.0% |
| 20% | -36.6% | 0% | -34.2% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31? | No | 67¢ | 68¢ | $36 | $36 | +$1 (+2%) |
| Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? | No | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1 | $1 | +$0 (+3%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? | Jun 23 | $43 | $0 | -0% |
| Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? | Jun 23 | $38 | −$2 | -6% |
| Iran leadership change by June 30? | Jun 07 | $8 | $0 | -4% |
| Will Alberta join the US? | Jun 07 | $85 | $0 | -0% |
| Iran closes its airspace by June 30? | Jun 02 | $3 | $0 | +0% |
| Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | Jun 02 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will the New Orleans Saints win Super Bowl 2026? | Dec 14 | $1 | $0 | +0% |
| Will DeepSeek have the top AI model on June 30? | Jun 29 | $11 | $0 | +4% |
| Will Nicușor Dan win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian p | May 05 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Will the first pick of the 2025 NFL Draft get traded? | Apr 20 | $10 | $0 | +1% |
| Will the Arizona Diamondbacks win the 2025 World Series? | Apr 19 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April? | Apr 14 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $60k in April? | Apr 14 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will FIT-U win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the | Apr 13 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Elon and DOGE cut between $100-150b in federal spending in 2025? | Apr 12 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Alexander Isak be the top goalscorer in the EPL? | Apr 11 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will SER win the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies following the 2 | Apr 09 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Israel win Eurovision 2025? | Apr 09 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will the AFD be part of the next German government? | Apr 07 | $12 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Victor Ponta win the most votes in the 1st round of the Romanian | Apr 05 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Trump's approval rating be 48.5% or moreon March 28? | Apr 01 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals? | Mar 29 | $12 | $0 | -1% |
| Will Austria win Eurovision 2025? | Mar 24 | $12 | $0 | -0% |
| 2025 March hottest on record? | Mar 24 | $11 | $0 | -0% |
| Will OpenAI have the top AI model on March 31? | Mar 24 | $3 | −$1 | -24% |
| Will the highest temperature in NYC be 48°F or below on March 25? | Mar 23 | $14 | $0 | +0% |