trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 2 | -16.3% | -24.3% | 50% | 50% | -28.5% |
| ≤30d | 23 | -31.9% | -38.4% | 30% | 26% | -38.7% |
| ≤90d | 29 | -46.0% | -51.2% | 24% | 21% | -60.4% |
| all | 29 | -46.0% | -51.2% | 24% | 21% | -60.4% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -51.2% | 21% | -60.4% |
| 10% | -55.8% | 17% | -64.2% |
| 15% | -60.1% | 17% | -67.6% |
| 20% | -64.0% | 14% | -70.8% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-18? | Yes | 63¢ | 62¢ | $59 | $58 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Czechia vs. South Africa: Both Teams to Score | Yes | 50¢ | 50¢ | $24 | $24 | −$0 (-1%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will England win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $46 | +$31 | +67% |
| Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17? | Jun 17 | $51 | −$51 | -99% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - June 4, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET | Jun 04 | $10 | −$10 | -96% |
| Will Colombia win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $13 | −$1 | -7% |
| Will DR Congo vs. Denmark end in a draw? | Jun 03 | $3 | +$10 | +324% |
| Will Netherlands vs. Algeria end in a draw? | Jun 03 | $2 | −$2 | -98% |
| Will Gibraltar vs. British Virgin Islands end in a draw? | Jun 03 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Albania vs. Israel end in a draw? | Jun 03 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Georgia vs. Romania end in a draw? | Jun 02 | $3 | +$8 | +250% |
| Will Romania win on 2026-06-02? | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Haiti vs. New Zealand end in a draw? | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Morocco vs. Madagascar end in a draw? | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -97% |
| Will Croatia vs. Belgium end in a draw? | Jun 02 | $3 | −$3 | -98% |
| Will Colombia win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 02 | $13 | +$2 | +14% |
| Will Austria win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 01 | $10 | +$4 | +38% |
| Will Austria vs. Tunisia end in a draw? | Jun 01 | $5 | $0 | +9% |
| Will Norway win on 2026-06-01? | Jun 01 | $2 | +$2 | +70% |
| Norway vs. Sweden: Both Teams to Score | Jun 01 | $22 | −$21 | -99% |
| Will Colombia vs. Costa Rica end in a draw? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -97% |
| Will Canada vs. Uzbekistan end in a draw? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Türkiye vs. North Macedonia end in a draw? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Bulgaria vs. Montenegro end in a draw? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Will Slovakia vs. Malta end in a draw? | Jun 01 | $5 | −$5 | -98% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - BLA | May 12 | $29 | −$26 | -89% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: Falcons Esport vs Ninjas in Pyjamas (BO3) - BLAST R | May 12 | $20 | −$20 | -98% |
| Rainbow Six Siege: ENTERPRISE Esports vs Falcons Esport (BO1) - BLAST | May 11 | $20 | −$20 | -99% |
| Will Trump visit China by May 15? | May 07 | $4 | −$4 | -96% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET | May 06 | $32 | −$32 | -100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,300 on May 6? | May 06 | $21 | −$20 | -94% |