Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:35:39+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50ea…5963
crypto · 90 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$1,414 -7%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$1,358 · open −$57
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$3,115
Realized−$1,358
Unrealized−$57
Win rate (resolved)35%
Wins / losses48 / 91
Whale WR (big bets)43%
Open positions4
Markets (closed)139 / 90
Avg bet$222
Trades / day3411.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 4 History 139 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$1,358
7 days−$1,358
14 days−$1,358
30 days−$1,358
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 37¢ 100¢ $376 $1,026 +$650 (+173%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Up 53¢ 100¢ $373 $709 +$336 (+90%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 65¢ 100¢ $303 $465 +$162 (+53%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Up 70¢ 100¢ $223 $318 +$95 (+43%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Up 47¢ 100¢ $125 $268 +$143 (+114%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Down 71¢ 98¢ $135 $188 +$53 (+40%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Down 72¢ 84¢ $95 $111 +$17 (+17%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET Up 28¢ 16¢ $34 $19 −$15 (-44%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Down 49¢ 50¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+2%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET Up 26¢ 2¢ $46 $3 −$43 (-94%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET Up 0¢ 50¢ $0 $2 +$2 (+0%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $162 $0 −$162 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Up 19¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Up 6¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Down 33¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Down 28¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $6 $0 −$6 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Down 22¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Up 1¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Down 42¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Up 44¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 49¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Down 11¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $631 −$631 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $327 −$327 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $162 −$162 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 12 $91 −$91 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 12 $151 −$151 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET Jun 12 $6 −$6 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET Jun 12 $2 −$2 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 21, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$17 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET Jun 12 $0 $0 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$10 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET Jun 12 $8 −$8 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 12 $1 −$1 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 10, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $4 −$4 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 12 $3 −$3 -100%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% +$141
other 0% +$2
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET BUY Down 49¢ $5 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $17 0m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 22¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $4 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 18¢ $0 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $17 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 15¢ $3 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $8 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 68¢ $4 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 31¢ $2 2m
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 8¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $8 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 12¢ $1 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 74¢ $30 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 16¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Down 67¢ $13 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET BUY Up 32¢ $6 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $2 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 21¢ $0 3m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 79¢ $32 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $1 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Up 20¢ $3 4m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET BUY Down 51¢ $7 4m
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +3%
net ROI/market (all)-43.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 139 -37.3% -43.3% 35% 3% -15.3%
≤30d 139 -37.3% -43.3% 35% 3% -15.3%
≤90d 139 -37.3% -43.3% 35% 3% -15.3%
all 139 -37.3% -43.3% 35% 3% -15.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover3411.0 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -43.3% 3% -15.3%
10% ← realistic here -48.7% 1% -23.4%
15% -53.7% 0% -30.8%
20% -58.2% 0% -37.6%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3,114.57 · official $3,129.86 (match) · 3500 history records