Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T19:58:47+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50ea…88cc
crypto · 837 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$44 -0%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$44 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$2
Realized−$44
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)55%
Wins / losses465 / 376
Open positions0
Markets (closed)841 / 837
History coverage8d
Avg bet$23
Trades / day301.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 841 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$77
7 days−$179
14 days−$44
30 days−$44
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Down 55¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+82%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Down 63¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+59%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET Down 68¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+47%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Up 82¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+22%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Down 79¢ 100¢ $0 $0 +$0 (+27%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Up 69¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET Down 66¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 10, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET Up 77¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $0 $0 −$0 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$3 -2888%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 12 $5 −$5 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $0 −$4 -2595%
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 12 $0 −$1 -840%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$2 -15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET Jun 12 $11 −$4 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$10 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$11 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET Jun 12 $17 −$6 -32%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +38%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET Jun 12 $34 +$9 +27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$4 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Jun 12 $11 +$7 +60%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET Jun 12 $20 −$8 -39%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET Jun 12 $37 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 12 $13 +$3 +26%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET Jun 12 $18 +$4 +23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET Jun 12 $14 −$6 -46%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET Jun 12 $24 −$1 -3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET Jun 12 $41 −$2 -4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$4 -35%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 12 $13 −$9 -74%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 12 $12 +$4 +33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 12 $10 −$2 -23%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 12 $12 −$3 -27%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 12 $10 +$5 +53%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 12 $14 +$11 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$6 -41%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET Jun 12 $30 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 12 $6 +$1 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET Jun 12 $15 −$5 -33%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 12 $12 +$8 +71%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 12 $28 −$2 -8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$3 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET Jun 12 $13 −$6 -43%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 12 $13 +$7 +56%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 12 $11 +$9 +81%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 12 $32 +$6 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Jun 12 $27 −$1 -2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 12 $45 −$5 -12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 12 $18 +$1 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET Jun 12 $21 +$12 +58%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 12 $14 −$2 -18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 12 $10 −$3 -28%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET Jun 12 $23 +$2 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 12 $24 −$3 -13%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$31
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET SELL Down 40¢ $7 6m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $11 7m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET SELL Down 58¢ $10 9m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET BUY Down 63¢ $11 11m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 23m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET BUY Down 72¢ $12 27m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 33m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET BUY Down 56¢ $14 38m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET SELL Down 32¢ $6 39m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 41m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $16 43m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET BUY Down 73¢ $12 45m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET SELL Down 55¢ $12 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET BUY Down 78¢ $17 49m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $15 58m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET BUY Down 70¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 99¢ $23 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 86¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET SELL Down 81¢ $20 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $14 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET SELL Up 41¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET BUY Up 66¢ $10 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $15 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET BUY Up 74¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET SELL Up 99¢ $18 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 60¢ $11 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Up 42¢ $6 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Up 64¢ $9 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET SELL Down 43¢ $7 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 12, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET BUY Down 67¢ $11 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +46%
net ROI/market (all)-1.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 660 +9.8% -0.6% 55% 47% -10.8%
≤30d 841 +9.0% -1.4% 55% 46% -9.6%
≤90d 841 +9.0% -1.4% 55% 46% -9.6%
all 841 +9.0% -1.4% 55% 46% -9.6%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover301.2 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -1.4% 46% -9.6%
10% ← realistic here -10.8% 35% -18.3%
15% -19.4% 22% -26.2%
20% -27.3% 15% -33.4%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
≈ Vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.63 · official $0.00 · 3500 history records