Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T19:20:22+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50d4…59a5
crypto · 12 markets active 1h ago
0.0score
−$23 -21%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$15 · open −$14
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY crypto specialist⚠ High turnover⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$79
Realized−$15
Unrealized−$14
Win rate (resolved)0%
Wins / losses0 / 1
Est. fees paid−$0
Open positions11
Markets (closed)1 / 12
History coverage1d
Avg bet$9
Trades / day15.0
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit92%
Chart Positions 11 History 1 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$15
7 days−$15
14 days−$15
30 days−$15
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan? Yes 2¢ 1¢ $16 $13 −$3 (-19%)
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 5¢ 5¢ $10 $10 −$0 (-1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? Yes 6¢ 6¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-7%)
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? Yes 2¢ 2¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-11%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? Yes 12¢ 10¢ $10 $9 −$1 (-13%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? Yes 11¢ 8¢ $10 $8 −$2 (-23%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan? Yes 2¢ 3¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $6 $6 +$0 (+1%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? Yes 9¢ 8¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-6%)
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan? Yes 3¢ 3¢ $5 $5 −$0 (-9%)
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? Yes 4¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-99%)
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) MOUZ 39¢ 0¢ $15 $0 −$15 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) Jun 14 $15 −$15 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 72% −$8
sports 18% −$20
other 9% −$1
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 3¢ $1 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 2¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 3¢ $5 1h
Exact Score: Netherlands 0 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 9¢ $5 1h
Map 2 Rounds Handicap: MOUZ (-3.5) vs FUT Esports (+3.5) BUY MOUZ 39¢ $15 6h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 6¢ $4 7h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 2 Japan? BUY Yes 6¢ $6 7h
Exact Score: Netherlands 3 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 2¢ $6 7h
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 3 Japan? BUY Yes 3¢ $6 7h
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw? BUY Yes 4¢ $5 7h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 0 Japan? BUY Yes 11¢ $10 7h
Exact Score: Netherlands 2 - 1 Japan? BUY Yes 12¢ $10 7h
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 2¢ $10 9h
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? BUY Yes 5¢ $10 9h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +0%
net ROI/market (all)-100.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤90d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
all 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover15.0 tr/day
realistic slip~9%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -100.0% 0% -100.0%
10% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
15% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
20% -100.0% 0% -100.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $79.08 · official $79.08 (match) · 15 history records