Wallet analysis

2026-06-17T23:39:53+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

0.0
score
50 0x50c8…c864 crypto 78 markets active 6d ago coverage 3d
TRAPdo not copy crypto specialistFading edge⚠ High turnover
✗ negative after realistic slippage✗ 90-day edge negative — edge has died! high turnover
Total PnL −$6 (-3%) realized −$6 · open +$0
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Gross ROI / mkt -6% what the leader earns
→−copy tax
Net edge / mkt -28% what you keep after slip
Net edge-28%after slip
Net WR50%break-even
Win rate50%39W / 39L
Drawdown100%max
Avg bet$3per market
Trades / day31.4pace
Kalshi-fit100%portable
Net worth$0now

Equity curve

realized PnL
Not enough resolved history to chart — analysis covers only 3d (hyperactive wallet — we see only the tail of its trades). A “Total PnL” curve will appear once daily tracking accumulates.

Categories

share · PnL
crypto 100% −$13
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.

The copy-tax — evidence

gross is the leader · net is you

Net edge · by timeframe

gross → net
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +50%
net ROI/market (all)-15.0%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 77 -6.0% -15.0% 51% 51% -15.4%
≤30d 78 -6.1% -15.0% 50% 50% -15.5%
≤90d 78 -6.1% -15.0% 50% 50% -15.5%
all 78 -6.1% -15.0% 50% 50% -15.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.

Slippage survival

net ROI/WR at slip
turnover31.4 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -15.0% 50% -15.5%
10% ← realistic here -23.2% 50% -23.5%
15% -30.6% 45% -30.9%
20% -37.4% 37% -37.7%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.

Edge quality

honest signals — luck vs skill
Profit concentration
top 3% · top 2 7% broad-based profit
Edge freshness (90d)
90d ROI -7% edge died — 90d negative
Fragile wins
0% wins margin < slip solid win margins
Flat-copyable
equal-wt -6% · $-wt -7% works when copied flat
Big bets
big-bet WR —% no data
Persistence
early +74% → late -86% edge faded
Add-ons / DCA
1.0 add-ons/market flat bettor — clean entries
Win / loss size
+$2 vs −$2 · ×0.85 wins small, loses big
Profit factor
×0.85 loses more than it wins
Copy size
≥ $50 mirror leader trades ≥ this size to copy only main ideas

Supporting detail

3d coverage
Net worth$0
Realized−$6
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)50%
Wins / losses39 / 39
Open positions0
Markets (closed)78 / 78
History coverage3d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day31.4
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%

Ledger

positions · history · trades
Positions 0 History 78 Trades
no open positions
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -50%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -51%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -74%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -62%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$1 -56%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -64%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$2 -59%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET Jun 13 $3 −$3 -100%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +43%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +93%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +90%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +86%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +39%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$2 +83%
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET Jun 12 $3 +$1 +40%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET SELL Down 50¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET BUY Up 52¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET SELL Down 48¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 49¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET BUY Up 50¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET BUY Down 50¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET SELL Down 53¢ $1 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
XRP Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Up 49¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET BUY Down 52¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET BUY Down 53¢ $3 5d
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET BUY Up 51¢ $3 5d
Solana Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET SELL Up 47¢ $1 5d
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET BUY Up 48¢ $2 5d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 180 history records