Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T11:37:25+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50c8…caa2
finance · 16 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
+$21,031 +22%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$22,026 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY finance specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$16,807
Realized+$22,026
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)58%
Wins / losses18 / 13
Whale WR (big bets)50%
Open positions2
Markets (closed)31 / 16
Avg bet$5,961
Trades / day793.6
Drawdown13%
Kalshi-fit69%
Chart Positions 2 History 31 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$16,720
7 days+$22,026
14 days+$22,026
30 days+$22,026
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Up 62¢ 100¢ $1,812 $2,930 +$1,118 (+62%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28? Up 45¢ 100¢ $1,232 $2,710 +$1,478 (+120%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28? Up 47¢ 100¢ $1,167 $2,477 +$1,310 (+112%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Up 68¢ 100¢ $1,181 $1,744 +$563 (+48%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Down 93¢ 100¢ $1,234 $1,333 +$100 (+8%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Down 88¢ 100¢ $1,121 $1,274 +$153 (+14%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29? Up 69¢ 100¢ $661 $962 +$302 (+46%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Down 80¢ 100¢ $702 $881 +$179 (+25%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Down 74¢ 100¢ $545 $741 +$196 (+36%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? Down 47¢ 29¢ $882 $549 −$333 (-38%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3? Down 90¢ 100¢ $446 $497 +$51 (+11%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? Down 43¢ 28¢ $465 $300 −$166 (-36%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Up 71¢ 100¢ $131 $185 +$54 (+41%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26? Up 89¢ 100¢ $60 $67 +$8 (+13%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? Yes 80¢ 100¢ $40 $50 +$10 (+25%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? No 46¢ 100¢ $18 $39 +$21 (+117%)
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Up 92¢ 100¢ $23 $25 +$2 (+9%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? Up 97¢ 100¢ $17 $18 +$1 (+3%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 10? Yes 89¢ 100¢ $9 $10 +$1 (+12%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 1? Yes 93¢ 100¢ $5 $5 +$0 (+8%)
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 3? No 59¢ 100¢ $1 $2 +$1 (+69%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? Up 57¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+76%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 4? Up 36¢ 100¢ $0 $1 +$1 (+177%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3? Down 97¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+3%)
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Up 96¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+4%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 12 $1 +$1,525 +102765%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 28? Jun 12 $0 +$1,641 +82070515%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 28? Jun 12 $0 +$1,468 +146835000%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 12 $2 −$768 -40604%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $0 +$1,869 +6109249%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 5? Jun 12 $4 +$1,885 +42877%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 3? Jun 12 $0 −$119 -596850%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 1? Jun 12 $0 +$2,853 +3479433%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 26? Jun 12 $16 +$2,227 +13985%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 29? Jun 12 $578 +$1,431 +248%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on June 1? Jun 12 $5 $0 +8%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $760 on June 3? Jun 12 $656 −$656 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on May 27? Jun 12 $825 +$58 +7%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 4? Jun 12 $11 +$212 +1968%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 3? Jun 12 $1 +$1,261 +92833%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 26? Jun 12 $0 +$1,475 +1054434%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $755 on June 3? Jun 12 $879 −$879 -100%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $5,842 +$1,025 +18%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 11? Jun 11 $14,814 +$1,347 +9%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $725 on June 10? Jun 10 $113 −$71 -63%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on June 10? Jun 10 $694 −$128 -18%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on June 10? Jun 10 $949 −$66 -7%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $12,182 −$1,461 -12%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 10? Jun 10 $9,138 +$637 +7%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on June 10? Jun 10 $389 −$48 -12%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $715 on June 10? Jun 10 $12 −$3 -25%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $720 on June 10? Jun 10 $0 $0 -96%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $10,427 −$1,193 -11%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 9? Jun 09 $17,180 −$392 -2%
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $6,256 +$3,244 +52%
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 8? Jun 08 $6,513 +$3,651 +56%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
other 60% +$3,144
finance 40% +$3,397
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 71¢ $101 8m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 72¢ $63 13m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 72¢ $146 13m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 70¢ $142 16m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $105 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 20m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $16 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 20m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 23m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 23m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $74 24m
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 68¢ $39 24m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 67¢ $92 33m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 32¢ $2 57m
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 33¢ $2 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 29¢ $1 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $138 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Up 69¢ $140 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 27¢ $3 1h
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 26¢ $1 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 25¢ $3 1h
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on June 12? BUY Down 24¢ $49 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
borderline — thin edge, slippage-sensitive
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)+653.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 31 +732.6% +653.3% 58% 48% +13.3%
≤30d 31 +732.6% +653.3% 58% 48% +13.3%
≤90d 31 +732.6% +653.3% 58% 48% +13.3%
all 31 +732.6% +653.3% 58% 48% +13.3%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover793.6 tr/day
realistic slip~15%
edge survives to20%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal +653.3% 48% +13.3%
10% +581.2% 45% +2.5%
15% ← realistic here +515.4% 45% -7.4%
20% +455.1% 45% -16.5%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $16,806.84 · official $16,828.60 (match) · 3500 history records