trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 3 | +10.9% | +0.3% | 67% | 33% | -1.7% |
| ≤30d | 10 | +5.7% | -4.4% | 70% | 20% | -2.6% |
| ≤90d | 14 | -8.6% | -17.3% | 64% | 21% | -3.6% |
| all | 16 | -7.1% | -16.0% | 69% | 19% | -3.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -16.0% | 19% | -3.6% |
| 10% | -24.0% | 12% | -12.8% |
| 15% | -31.4% | 0% | -21.3% |
| 20% | -38.1% | 0% | -29.0% |
| Market | outcome | entry | now | invested | value | unrealized PnL |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? | Yes | 96¢ | 98¢ | $82 | $84 | +$2 (+2%) |
| Will the Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? | No | 96¢ | 95¢ | $43 | $43 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Will Iga Świątek be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | No | 91¢ | 91¢ | $41 | $41 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | No | 88¢ | 88¢ | $29 | $29 | +$0 (+0%) |
| Will Jessica Pegula be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner? | No | 95¢ | 95¢ | $15 | $15 | −$0 (-0%) |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $42 | +$4 | +9% |
| Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 19 | $56 | +$14 | +25% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? | Jun 19 | $94 | −$1 | -1% |
| US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12? | Jun 16 | $1 | $0 | +5% |
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm ele | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +2% |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | Jun 11 | $3 | $0 | +2% |
| Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $10 | −$1 | -9% |
| Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $14 | −$1 | -4% |
| Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 11 | $11 | +$3 | +25% |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026? | Jun 11 | $1 | $0 | +4% |
| Iran closes its airspace by May 15? | May 22 | $2 | $0 | +6% |
| Will the New York Knicks win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $1 | −$1 | -100% |
| Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals? | May 12 | $2 | −$2 | -99% |
| LoL: BNK FEARX vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Cup Playoffs | May 12 | $3 | $0 | +16% |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | +1% |
| Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of February? | Feb 28 | $2 | $0 | +5% |