Wallet analysis

2026-06-12T10:22:19+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50b1…861b
sports · 214 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$6,294 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$5,250 · open −$450
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP sports specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist
Net worth$4
Realized−$5,250
Unrealized−$450
Win rate (resolved)59%
Wins / losses126 / 87
Whale WR (big bets)69%
Est. fees paid−$4,179
Open positions1
Markets (closed)213 / 214
Avg bet$2,021
Trades / day18.6
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 213 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$614
7 days−$1,149
14 days−$9,837
30 days+$6,651
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ 0¢ $454 $4 −$450 (-99%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 2 Winner JD Gaming 35¢ 0¢ $2,376 $0 −$2,376 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs DN SOOPers - Game 2 Winner DN SOOPers 3¢ 0¢ $58 $0 −$58 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Anyones Legend 59¢ 0¢ $1,238 $0 −$1,238 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 35¢ 0¢ $3,500 $0 −$3,500 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs T1 Academy (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2 BNK FearX Youth 44¢ 0¢ $880 $0 −$880 (-100%)
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend - Game 4 Winner JD Gaming 17¢ 0¢ $1,140 $0 −$1,140 (-100%)
LoL: Top Esports vs Ninjas in Pyjamas - Game 1 Winner Top Esports 0¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs T1 - Game 2 Winner HANJIN BRION 77¢ 0¢ $3,860 $0 −$3,860 (-100%)
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Anyones Legend 15¢ 0¢ $158 $0 −$158 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BNK FEARX 29¢ 0¢ $2,334 $0 −$2,334 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner BNK FEARX 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winner RED Canids 29¢ 0¢ $1,189 $0 −$1,189 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner EDward Gaming 15¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2 Nongshim Red Force 15¢ 0¢ $1,500 $0 −$1,500 (-100%)
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Dplus KIA 72¢ 0¢ $3,959 $0 −$3,959 (-100%)
LoL: T1 vs Nongshim Red Force - Game 1 Winner Nongshim Red Force 0¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Anyone's Legend - Game 1 Winner Anyones Legend 74¢ 0¢ $1,160 $0 −$1,160 (-100%)
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs BNK FEARX 3¢ 0¢ $30 $0 −$30 (-100%)
LoL: Invictus Gaming vs ThunderTalk Gaming - Game 3 Winner Invictus Gaming 33¢ 0¢ $1,640 $0 −$1,640 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner EDward Gaming 18¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Nongshim Red Force 43¢ 0¢ $361 $0 −$361 (-100%)
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Team WE 36¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
LoL: Movistar KOI vs G2 Esports - Game 1 Winner G2 Esports 60¢ 0¢ $257 $0 −$257 (-100%)
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports - Game 2 Winner RED Canids 44¢ 0¢ $2,366 $0 −$2,366 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner Jun 12 $1,283 +$614 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 08 $322 −$72 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 08 $15 −$1 -6%
LoL: Cloud9 vs LYON - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,984 −$1,974 -100%
LoL: G2 Esports vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1 −$1 -99%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO5) - LCK Road to MSI Jun 07 $3,964 −$3,959 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 4 Winner Jun 07 $1,292 +$1,156 +90%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $546 +$103 +19%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 3 Winner Jun 07 $1,773 +$770 +43%
LoL: Top Esports vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 07 $1,741 +$187 +11%
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner Jun 07 $91 −$91 -100%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $982 −$663 -68%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,133 +$365 +32%
LoL: FlyQuest vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $2,365 +$370 +16%
LoL: FURIA Esports vs LOS - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,949 +$448 +23%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,108 −$1,106 -100%
LoL: Movistar KOI vs Karmine Corp - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,700 −$1,390 -82%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 06 $1,402 +$1,595 +114%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 06 $1,400 +$539 +38%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 06 $1,305 +$1,496 +115%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $1,483 +$286 +19%
LoL: Dplus KIA vs HANJIN BRION - Game 1 Winner Jun 06 $691 +$328 +48%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 05 $147 −$147 -100%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 05 $555 −$510 -92%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 03 $1,261 −$152 -12%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 03 $989 −$10 -1%
LoL: EDward Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 03 $1,013 −$10 -1%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffs Jun 02 $308 −$302 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 4 Winner Jun 02 $509 +$161 +32%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 3 Winner Jun 02 $658 +$699 +106%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winner Jun 02 $158 −$156 -98%
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 1 Winner Jun 02 $789 +$421 +53%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner Jun 01 $1,253 −$1,238 -99%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 2 Winner Jun 01 $1,169 −$261 -22%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner Jun 01 $266 +$733 +276%
LoL: Team Vitality vs GIANTX - Game 1 Winner May 31 $523 −$517 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 4 Winner May 31 $320 −$317 -99%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner May 31 $2,075 −$1,756 -85%
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Dplus KIA - Game 2 Winner May 31 $361 −$361 -100%
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $538 +$439 +82%
LoL: Team Secret Whales vs Deep Cross Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,232 +$222 +18%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 2 Winner May 31 $1,446 +$332 +23%
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winner May 31 $82 −$42 -51%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 4 Winner May 30 $1,787 −$1,775 -99%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 3 Winner May 30 $1,922 −$192 -10%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 2 Winner May 30 $2,339 −$2,334 -100%
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Team WE - Game 1 Winner May 30 $4,796 −$1,466 -31%
LoL: BNK FEARX vs T1 - Game 1 Winner May 30 $3,500 −$3,500 -100%
LoL: KT Rolster vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winner May 30 $3,190 +$806 +25%
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winner May 30 $3,922 +$1,137 +29%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$5,700
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $20 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $16 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $5 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $83 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $2 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $2 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $7 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $2 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 12¢ $0 23m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $501 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $40 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $4 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $4 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $10 30m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $11 31m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $10 31m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $160 31m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $64 31m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 2 Winner BUY Hanwha Life Esports 64¢ $385 31m
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 100¢ $1,583 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $72 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $18 1h
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winner SELL Hanwha Life Esports 75¢ $223 1h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +48%
net ROI/market (all)-14.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 23 -9.2% -17.8% 57% 57% -10.1%
≤30d 160 -0.2% -9.7% 62% 51% -7.4%
≤90d 201 -6.9% -15.8% 60% 48% -10.1%
all 213 -5.4% -14.4% 59% 48% -10.1%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover18.6 tr/day
realistic slip~11%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -14.4% 48% -10.1%
10% ← realistic here -22.6% 36% -18.7%
15% -30.1% 26% -26.6%
20% -37.0% 18% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $3.54 · official $3.54 (match) · 2435 history records