trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?
| timeframe | markets | gross ROI | NET ROI | gross WR | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ≤7d | 1 | -0.0% | -9.5% | 0% | 0% | -9.5% |
| ≤30d | 3 | -0.2% | -9.7% | 0% | 0% | -9.7% |
| ≤90d | 12 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| all | 13 | -0.1% | -9.6% | 8% | 0% | -9.6% |
| copier slippage | NET ROI | NET WR | net PnL (wtd) |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5% ideal ← realistic here | -9.6% | 0% | -9.6% |
| 10% | -18.2% | 0% | -18.2% |
| 15% | -26.1% | 0% | -26.1% |
| 20% | -33.4% | 0% | -33.4% |
| Market | when | invested | PnL | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 17 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Jun 04 | $95 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Jon Stewart win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | May 28 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | May 17 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will François Bayrou win the 2027 French presidential election? | May 14 | $96 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Belgium win Eurovision 2026? | May 12 | $96 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Amazon have the best AI model at the end of April 2026? | Apr 16 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Apr 13 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? | Apr 07 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Apr 04 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | Mar 29 | $97 | $0 | +0% |
| Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026? | Mar 23 | $97 | $0 | -0% |
| Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | Mar 18 | $97 | $0 | -0% |