Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T18:40:15+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x50a1…1775
crypto · 1749 markets active 0h ago
0.0score
−$21 -1%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$21 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialistFresh edge⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$1
Realized−$21
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)73%
Wins / losses1282 / 466
Open positions1
Markets (closed)1748 / 1749
History coverage39d
Avg bet$2
Trades / day59.5
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 1 History 1748 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$3
14 days−$4
30 days−$9
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET Up 98¢ 100¢ $1 $1 +$0 (+2%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 -45%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +4%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +7%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +3%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +8%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +9%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +6%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +5%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +1%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Jun 13 $1 $0 +2%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 100% −$21
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 16m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET BUY Up 99¢ $1 31m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET BUY Up 89¢ $1 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET BUY Down 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET BUY Up 93¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET BUY Down 99¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET BUY Up 91¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET SELL Up 55¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET BUY Up 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET BUY Down 96¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET BUY Up 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET BUY Down 94¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET BUY Down 97¢ $1 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET BUY Up 98¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET BUY Down 93¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET BUY Up 96¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 11:05AM-11:10AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET BUY Up 95¢ $1 3h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET BUY Down 95¢ $1 3h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +8%
net ROI/market (all)-10.4%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 336 +0.5% -9.1% 90% 1% -10.1%
≤30d 1130 -0.3% -9.8% 74% 4% -9.9%
≤90d 1748 -0.9% -10.4% 73% 8% -10.2%
all 1748 -0.9% -10.4% 73% 8% -10.2%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover59.5 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -10.4% 8% -10.2%
10% ← realistic here -19.0% 4% -18.8%
15% -26.8% 2% -26.7%
20% -34.0% 1% -33.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $1.02 · official $0.98 (match) · 3500 history records