Wallet analysis

2026-06-13T09:38:11+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x508a…9af5
crypto · 648 markets active 0h ago
2.0score
+$37 +2%
TOTAL PnL · realized +$37 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
✗ TRAP crypto specialist⚠ High turnover
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized+$37
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)78%
Wins / losses506 / 142
Open positions0
Markets (closed)648 / 648
History coverage9d
Avg bet$3
Trades / day76.3
Drawdown75%
Kalshi-fit96%
Chart Positions 0 History 648 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days+$3
7 days−$39
14 days+$37
30 days+$37
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET Up 82¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET Up 61¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET Up 57¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
BNB Up or Down - June 12, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET Up 92¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET Down 65¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET Up 68¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET Up 50¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 5, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Up 58¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 7, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET Down 46¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 7, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET Up 66¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET Up 38¢ 0¢ $4 $0 −$4 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET Up 52¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET Down 41¢ 0¢ $1 $0 −$1 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET Down 53¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 12, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET Down 95¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 8, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 7, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET Down 54¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 11, 8:30AM-8:45AM ET Down 63¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
XRP Up or Down - June 9, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET Down 71¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Solana Up or Down - June 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET Down 52¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 9, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET Down 56¢ 0¢ $5 $0 −$5 (-100%)
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET Down 68¢ 0¢ $3 $0 −$3 (-100%)
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Down 89¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +29%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +19%
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +10%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +28%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +20%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -98%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +15%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +16%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +33%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$1 +31%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 +$2 +68%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -99%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +18%
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET Jun 13 $2 −$2 -96%
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +14%
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +13%
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET Jun 13 $2 $0 +12%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
crypto 98% +$41
other 2% −$4
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET BUY Down 76¢ $2 9m
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 35m
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET BUY Up 83¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET BUY Up 84¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET BUY Down 87¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 87¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 83¢ $2 1h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Dogecoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
BNB Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 90¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 1h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 1h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET BUY Up 88¢ $2 1h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET BUY Up 90¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 86¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET BUY Up 77¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Ethereum Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 84¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET BUY Down 78¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
Solana Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 89¢ $2 2h
XRP Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 82¢ $2 2h
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 13, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET BUY Down 88¢ $2 2h
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
negative after costs — do not copy
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +56%
net ROI/market (all)-6.3%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 565 +0.5% -9.1% 79% 55% -11.8%
≤30d 648 +3.5% -6.3% 78% 56% -7.7%
≤90d 648 +3.5% -6.3% 78% 56% -7.7%
all 648 +3.5% -6.3% 78% 56% -7.7%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover76.3 tr/day
realistic slip~13%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal -6.3% 56% -7.7%
10% ← realistic here -15.3% 30% -16.6%
15% -23.5% 25% -24.6%
20% -31.0% 19% -32.0%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 1174 history records