Wallet analysis

2026-06-14T04:53:36+00:00

trader profile + honest PnL by actual resolution and NET edge after slippage — worth copying?

50
0x5085…f08b
sports · 5 markets active 1h ago
0.5score
−$15 -20%
TOTAL PnL · realized −$47 · open +$0
avoidriskycopy
~ RISKY sports specialist⚠ Small sample
Copy trade Watchlist View on Polymarket ↗
Net worth$0
Realized−$47
Unrealized+$0
Win rate (resolved)20%
Wins / losses1 / 4
Est. fees paid−$1
Open positions0
Markets (closed)5 / 5
History coverage45d
Avg bet$15
Trades / day0.2
Drawdown100%
Kalshi-fit100%
Chart Positions 0 History 5 Categories Trades Net edge Slippage
1W 1M 3M YTD 1Y All
2 days−$24
7 days−$24
14 days−$35
30 days−$35
Cards show realized PnL over calendar windows (by resolution date). The “Total PnL” chart appears for wallets we track daily.
Open positions — marked to current price, like Polymarket
Marketoutcome entrynow investedvalue unrealized PnL
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 64¢ 0¢ $26 $0 −$26 (-100%)
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Raptors 25¢ 0¢ $10 $0 −$10 (-100%)
Knicks vs. Spurs Spurs 11¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Rockets vs. Lakers Lakers 37¢ 0¢ $2 $0 −$2 (-100%)
Top-25 open positions by current value. Prices in cents = market-implied probability (50¢ = 50%).
Closed markets — PnL by actual resolution, newest first
MarketwheninvestedPnLROI
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 14 $26 −$24 -91%
Knicks vs. Spurs Jun 03 $26 −$26 -99%
Spurs vs. Thunder May 31 $12 +$15 +124%
Rockets vs. Lakers Apr 30 $2 −$2 -98%
Raptors vs. Cavaliers Apr 30 $10 −$10 -98%
Latest 50 closed markets. Resolution = Polymarket fact (redeemable/curPrice), not a timer.
sports 100% −$47
Share of volume and PnL by niche (realized + unrealized). Shows where the trader actually earns — and where they bleed.
Latest trades by this wallet
Marketsidepricesizewhen
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 11¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs SELL Spurs 5¢ $2 1h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 61¢ $24 3h
Knicks vs. Spurs BUY Spurs 64¢ $26 10d
Spurs vs. Thunder BUY Spurs 44¢ $12 14d
Rockets vs. Lakers BUY Lakers 37¢ $2 45d
Raptors vs. Cavaliers BUY Raptors 25¢ $10 45d
From the wallet’s activity history (Polymarket /activity), latest 30.
insufficient sample — too few resolved markets to judge
break-even: the trader needs > 10.5% gross ROI/market for the copier to break even
chance a trade nets +20%
net ROI/market (all)-59.6%
timeframemarkets gross ROINET ROI gross WRNET WR net PnL (wtd)
≤7d 1 -100.0% -100.0% 0% 0% -100.0%
≤30d 3 -25.5% -32.6% 33% 33% -40.0%
≤90d 5 -55.3% -59.6% 20% 20% -53.5%
all 5 -55.3% -59.6% 20% 20% -53.5%
<b>gross</b> = as the leader traded. <b>net</b> = what WE’d keep after slippage (we enter later, price moved). Net ROI ≤ 0 → copying loses even if the leader profits.
turnover0.2 tr/day
realistic slip~5%
edge survives to0%
copier slippageNET ROINET WRnet PnL (wtd)
5% ideal ← realistic here -59.6% 20% -53.5%
10% -63.4% 20% -58.0%
15% -67.0% 20% -62.0%
20% -70.2% 20% -65.8%
Realistic slippage grows with turnover and leader size. If net ROI turns negative before the realistic slip — it’s a <b>trap</b>: leader profits, you lose.
✓ Calibrated vs Polymarket: our portfolio calc $0.00 · official $0.00 (match) · 8 history records